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Dec 14, 2021

Research on the Limit Scale Estimation Method of Regional Highway Infrastructure

Publication: CICTP 2021

ABSTRACT

The construction of transportation infrastructure is not only the foundation of regional survival and development, but also the important foundation of realizing regional functional orientation and improving regional comprehensive competitiveness. The rational allocation of traffic land resources requires the prediction of the limit scale of transportation infrastructure. Through the combination of qualitative analysis, quantitative evaluation and empirical research, a theoretical calculation model for predicting the land scale of highway traffic infrastructure construction based on RR-ARIMA coupling model is proposed. Taking Shandong Province as an example, the total limit scale of regional highway traffic infrastructure from 2022 to 2025 is predicted, and it is concluded that the limit scale of highway infrastructure at the end of the 14th five-year plan is 79.99-91.58 ten thousand hectares.

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Go to CICTP 2021
CICTP 2021
Pages: 821 - 831

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Published online: Dec 14, 2021

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1Transportation Planning and Design Research Center, Shandong Univ., Jinan, Shandong, China. Email: [email protected]
2Shandong Provincial Communications Planning and Design Institute, Jinan, Shandong, China. Email: [email protected]
Yongchang Li [email protected]
3Shandong Provincial Communications Planning and Design Institute, Jinan, Shandong, China. Email: [email protected]
Ruhua Zhang [email protected]
4Transportation Planning and Design Research Center, Shandong Univ., Jinan, Shandong, China. Email: [email protected]

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