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Dec 14, 2021
Analysis and Prediction of Regional Comprehensive Transportation Passenger Transport Structure
Authors: Jincan Di [email protected], Tianmin Wang [email protected], Jinping Wang [email protected], and Ruhua Zhang [email protected]Author Affiliations
Publication: CICTP 2021
ABSTRACT
The analysis and prediction of regional comprehensive traffic passenger transport structure can deeply understand the change law of passenger transport structure and improve the level of passenger transport service. This paper puts forward three kinds of passenger transport structures: basic, medium and high-quality, and constructs the Markov chain passenger transport structure prediction model. Taking the comprehensive passenger transport structure of Shandong Province as an example, this paper uses Python to solve the passenger transport structure in the future years. The results show that the proportion of highway in passenger transport in Shandong Province is shifting to high-speed rail and civil aviation, the proportion of high-quality passenger transport structure is increasing year by year, and the proportion of water passenger transport is relatively stable, about 3%, which is in line with the actual development of comprehensive passenger transport in Shandong Province.
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Published online: Dec 14, 2021
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1Transportation Planning and Design Research Center, Shandong Univ., Jinan, Shandong, China. Email: [email protected]
2Engineer, Shandong Provincial Communications Planning and Design Institute, Jinan, Shandong, China. Email: [email protected]
3Shandong Provincial Communications Planning and Design Institute, Jinan, Shandong, China. Email: [email protected]
4Transportation Planning and Design Research Center, Shandong Univ., Jinan, Shandong, China. Email: [email protected]
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