Coastal Structures and Solutions to Coastal Disasters Joint Conference 2015
Use of Agent-Based Modelling to Validate Hurricane Evacuation Planning
Publication: Coastal Structures and Solutions to Coastal Disasters 2015: Resilient Coastal Communities
ABSTRACT
Justification for evacuation and evacuation planning is sometimes questioned and there is a need develop approaches which justify the planning and associated expenditure. To this end, it was decided to carry out a pilot evaluation of the impact of a hurricane storm surge flooding on Brunswick, GA, using a dynamic agent based model that represents people's interactions with a flood and provides estimates of the number of people that are likely to be killed as a result of a flood event, as well as the time that is required for them to evacuate the area at risk. Climate change increase of 3ft in mean sea level would increase the population at risk in Brunswick by 20% for a category 4 hurricane. The modelling shows that for a category 4 hurricane managed evacuation can significantly reduce the number of fatalities.
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BIBLIOGRAPHY
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Information & Authors
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Published In
Coastal Structures and Solutions to Coastal Disasters 2015: Resilient Coastal Communities
Pages: 321 - 329
Editors: Louise Wallendorf, U.S. Naval Academy and Daniel T. Cox, Ph.D., Oregon State University
ISBN (Online): 978-0-7844-8030-4
Copyright
© 2017 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published online: Jul 11, 2017
Published in print: Jul 11, 2017
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