Chapter
Apr 26, 2012
Logistics Models for Forecasting the Growth of Shanghai Port's Throughput
Publication: ICLEM 2010: Logistics For Sustained Economic Development: Infrastructure, Information, Integration
Abstract
There have been a number of forecasting models based on various forms of the logistic growth model. This paper has investigated the effectiveness of the three-parameter and four-parameter logistic models for forecasting the growth of Shanghai Port's throughput. The two models are applied to the in-port, out-port and total throughput of Shanghai Port. The developed models are compared using goodness of fit to the historical data. The comparison has revealed that the four-parameter logistic model is an appropriate candidate for forecasting the growth of Shanghai Port's throughput.
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© 2010 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Published online: Apr 26, 2012
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ASCE Technical Topics:
- Comparative studies
- Engineering fundamentals
- Forecasting
- Freight transportation
- Hydraulic engineering
- Hydraulic structures
- Infrastructure
- Logistics
- Mathematics
- Methodology (by type)
- Models (by type)
- Optimization models
- Parameters (statistics)
- Ports and harbors
- Research methods (by type)
- Simulation models
- Statistics
- Transportation engineering
- Water and water resources
Authors
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International Business School, Shanghai Institute of Foreign Trade, 1900 Wenxiang Road, Shanghai 201620, P. R. China.E-mail: [email protected]
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ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.