Chapter
Apr 26, 2012
A Method of Expressway Pavement Performance Prediction
Publication: International Conference on Transportation Engineering 2009
Abstract
Based on the application situation of the representative prediction models and the present situation of China pavement maintenance and management (PMM), a new pavement performance prediction method is developed combining Grey System Prediction (GSP) model with Markov Probability Prediction (MPP) model. A simplified method of calculating transfer-probability matrix is proposed. Finally the pavement performance prediction of one expressway section in Sichuan province of China is studied as a case. The results prove the method and model is effective and practicable.
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© 2009 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Published online: Apr 26, 2012
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ASCE Technical Topics:
- Architectural engineering
- Building management
- Business management
- Engineering fundamentals
- Highway and road management
- Highway transportation
- Highways and roads
- Infrastructure
- Maintenance and operation
- Management methods
- Markov process
- Mathematical functions
- Mathematics
- Matrix (mathematics)
- Pavements
- Practice and Profession
- Probability
- Stochastic processes
- Transportation engineering
Authors
Affiliations
College of Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu, 610031, P.R. China. E-mail: [email protected]
Sichuan Province Communication Department Highway Planning Survey Design and Research Institute, Chengdu, 610041, P.R. China. E-mail: [email protected]
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