Chapter
Apr 26, 2012
Forecasting Model of Evacuation Traffic Demand under Emergency
Authors: Zhao Zhang [email protected], Qipeng Yan [email protected], Lan Liu [email protected], and You Deng [email protected]Author Affiliations
Publication: International Conference on Transportation Engineering 2009
Abstract
In recent years, many unexpected and unconventional events repeatedly occurred all over the world. These outbursts exert great negative impacts on a nation's politics, economy and peoples' life. This paper, first of all defines what emergency is, and then classifies it. This paper conducts a research on the characteristics of evacuation traffic flow based on the characteristics of emergency, then it investigates the evacuation traffic demand, constructs the optimized model of land utilization based on traffic efficiency in order to divide the evacuation zones, and investigate the mathematic model to forecast the traffic demand in evacuation zones.
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© 2009 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published online: Apr 26, 2012
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ASCE Technical Topics:
- Business management
- Disaster preparedness
- Disaster risk management
- Emergency management
- Engineering fundamentals
- Evacuation
- Forecasting
- Infrastructure
- Mathematical models
- Mathematics
- Models (by type)
- Optimization models
- Political factors
- Practice and Profession
- Public administration
- Statistics
- Traffic engineering
- Traffic flow
- Traffic management
- Traffic models
- Transportation engineering
Authors
Affiliations
College of Traffic & Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University, P.O. Box 610031, Chengdu, China,. E-mail: [email protected]
College of Traffic & Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University, P.O. Box 610031, Chengdu, China,. E-mail: [email protected]
College of Traffic & Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University, P.O. Box 610031, Chengdu, China,. E-mail: [email protected]
Chengdu Municipal Committee of Communication, P.O. Box 610031, Chengdu, China,. E-mail: [email protected]
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