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Apr 26, 2012

Forecasting Model of Evacuation Traffic Demand under Emergency

Publication: International Conference on Transportation Engineering 2009

Abstract

In recent years, many unexpected and unconventional events repeatedly occurred all over the world. These outbursts exert great negative impacts on a nation's politics, economy and peoples' life. This paper, first of all defines what emergency is, and then classifies it. This paper conducts a research on the characteristics of evacuation traffic flow based on the characteristics of emergency, then it investigates the evacuation traffic demand, constructs the optimized model of land utilization based on traffic efficiency in order to divide the evacuation zones, and investigate the mathematic model to forecast the traffic demand in evacuation zones.

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Published In

Go to International Conference on Transportation Engineering 2009
International Conference on Transportation Engineering 2009
Pages: 4128 - 4133

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Published online: Apr 26, 2012

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College of Traffic & Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University, P.O. Box 610031, Chengdu, China,. E-mail: [email protected]
College of Traffic & Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University, P.O. Box 610031, Chengdu, China,. E-mail: [email protected]
College of Traffic & Transportation, Southwest Jiaotong University, P.O. Box 610031, Chengdu, China,. E-mail: [email protected]
Chengdu Municipal Committee of Communication, P.O. Box 610031, Chengdu, China,. E-mail: [email protected]

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