Methodology for Regional Multihazard Hurricane Damage and Risk Assessment
Publication: Journal of Structural Engineering
Volume 147, Issue 11
Abstract
Hurricanes are devastating natural hazards that often cause damage to the built environment as a result of their loadings, which include storm surge, waves, and wind, often in combination. Modeling these hazards individually and their effects on buildings is a complex process because each loading component within the hazard behaves differently, affecting either the building envelope, the structural system, or the interior contents. Realistic modeling of hurricane effects requires a multihazard approach that considers the combined effects of wind, surge, and waves. Previous studies focused primarily on modeling these hazards individually, with less focus on the multihazard impact on the whole building system made up of the combination of the structure and its interior contents. The analysis resolution used in previous studies did not fully enable hurricane risk assessment through a detailed investigation of the vulnerability at the component-level or subassembly-level (a group of components such as interior contents, structural components, or nonstructural components). To address these research gaps, a robust multihazard hurricane risk analysis model that uses high-resolution hazard, exposure, and vulnerability models was developed. This model uses a novel approach to combine the storm surge and wave fragility functions with a suite of existing wind fragilities to account for structural damage and then combines them with another suite of flood-based fragilities to account for interior content damage. The proposed vulnerability model was applied to the state of North Carolina as an example of a regional-scale assessment to demonstrate the ability of the method to predict damage at the building level across this large spatial domain. This model enables better understanding of the damages caused by hurricanes in coastal regions, thereby setting initial postimpact conditions for community resilience assessment and investigation of recovery policy alternatives.
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Data Availability Statement
Some or all data, models, or codes that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Acknowledgments
This research was a combination of work from two projects, including the National Science Foundation (NSF) Coastlines and People program under Grant No. 1940119, and that support is gratefully acknowledged. The views and opinions expressed in this paper are those of the authors and do not necessarily represent the views of the NSF. The surge/wave fragility development and ADCIRC simulations were funded by the DHS Coastal Center of Excellence through subcontracts from the University of North Carolina at Chapel Hill to Colorado State University and North Carolina State University, respectively.
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Journal of Structural Engineering
Volume 147 • Issue 11 • November 2021
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© 2021 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Received: Jan 12, 2021
Accepted: Jun 2, 2021
Published online: Aug 30, 2021
Published in print: Nov 1, 2021
Discussion open until: Jan 30, 2022
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