Transportation Development, Spatiotemporal Convergence, and Urban Land Use: Study of the Opening of High-Speed Rails in the Yangtze River Delta, China
Publication: Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 147, Issue 3
Abstract
The rapid development of high-speed rail (HSR) has accelerated urbanization of the Yangtze River Delta (YRD). However, the impacts of HSR opening, opening time of HSR, and heterogeneity effects of HSR stations’ characteristics on urban land use have not been well studied. Based on the land-use remote sensing data of YRD for 1990–2015, this study analyzes the causal effect of HSR opening on land-use change by applying the difference-in-differences model (DID). We find that the HSR opening has a significantly positive effect on the expansion of urban space and other construction land but accelerates the loss of agricultural land. Furthermore, the impact of HSR on urban land use is cumulative, and the opening time of HSR affects the speed of urban land use change. The longer the HSR opening time, the faster the change in urban land use. Moreover, the issue of the heterogeneity effects of HSR station characteristics on urban spatial expansion is also an important one. The results show that existing stations have a greater impact on urban spatial expansion.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Acknowledgments
This work was supported by the Ministry of Education (MOE) of the People's Republic of China) Project of Humanities and Social Sciences (Project No. 17YJC790021), the China Scholarship Council fund (File No. 201906480004), and the National Natural Science Foundation of China (NNSFC) (No. 41871169).
References
Albalate, D., and X. Fageda. 2016. “High speed rail and tourism: Empirical evidence from Spain.” Transp. Res. Part A 85: 174–185. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tra.2016.01.009.
Bai, X. M., P. J. Shi, and Y. S. Liu. 2014. “Society: Realizing China’s urban dream.” Nature 509 (7499): 158–160. https://doi.org/10.1038/509158a.
Barbara, W., S. Irmi, and S. Tobias. 2017. “The socio-economic determinants of urban sprawl between 1980 and 2010 in Switzerland.” Landscape Urban Plann. 157: 468–482. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2016.08.002.
Baron, R. M., and D. A. Kenny. 1986. “The moderator–mediator variable distinction in social psychological research: Conceptual, strategic, and statistical considerations.” J. Personality Soc. Psychol. 51 (6): 1173–1182. https://doi.org/10.1037/0022-3514.51.6.1173.
Baum-Snow, N. 2007. “Did highways cause suburbanization?” Q. J. Econ. 122 (2): 775–805. https://doi.org/10.1162/qjec.122.2.775.
Chen, J., J. Gao, and W. Chen. 2016. “Urban land expansion and the transitional mechanisms in Nanjing, China.” Habitat Int. 53: 274–283. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2015.11.040.
Chen, Z. H., K. Haynes, Y. L. Zhou, and Z. X. Dai. 2019. High speed rail and China’s new economic geography, 39–146. Cheltenham, UK: Edward Elgar.
Deng, T. T., and D. D. Wang. 2018. “Has China’s high speed railway construction aggravated ‘urban sprawl’? An empirical evidence from prefecture-level cities.” [In Chinese.] J. Finance Econ. 44 (10): 125–137.
Deng, T. T., D. D. Wang, and S. Y. Cheng. 2017. “The impact of high speed railway on urban service industry agglomeration.” [In Chinese.] J. Finance Econ. 43 (7): 119–132.
Deng, T. T., D. D. Wang, Y. Yang, and H. Yang. 2019. “Shrinking cities in growing China: Did high speed rail further aggravate urban shrinkage?” Cities 86 (3): 210–219. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2018.09.017.
Donaldson, D. 2018. “Railroads of the Raj: Estimating the impact of transportation infrastructure.” Am. Econ. Rev. 108 (4–5): 899–934. https://doi.org/10.1257/aer.20101199.
Dong, Y. M., and Y. M. Zhu. 2016. “Can high-speed rail construction reshape the layout of China’s economic space—Based on the perspective of regional heterogeneity of employment, wage and economic growth.” [In Chinese.] China Ind. Econ. 343 (10): 92–108.
Gao, J. L., D. Y. Wei, W. Chen, and J. L. Chen. 2014. “Economic transition and urban land expansion in Provincial China.” Habitat Int. 44: 461–473. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2014.09.002.
Guirao, B., J. L. Campa, and N. Casado-Sanz. 2018. “Labour mobility between cities and metropolitan integration: The role of high speed rail commuting in Spain.” Cities 78 (8): 140–154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2018.02.008.
Handy, S. 2005. “Smart growth and the transportation-land use connection: What does the research tell us?” Int. Reg. Sci. Rev. 28 (2): 146–167. https://doi.org/10.1177/0160017604273626.
Huang, Z. J., D. Y. Wei, C. F. He, and H. Li. 2015. “Urban land expansion under economic transition in China: A multi-level modeling analysis.” Habitat Int. 47: 69–82. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2015.01.007.
Kasraian, D., K. Maat, D. Stead, and B. van Wee. 2016. “Long-term impacts of transport infrastructure networks on land-use change: An international review of empirical studies.” Transp. Rev. 36 (6): 772–792. https://doi.org/10.1080/01441647.2016.1168887.
Krugman, P. 1991. “Increasing returns and economic geography.” J. Political Econ. 99 (3): 483–499. https://doi.org/10.1086/261763.
Krugman, P., and A. J. Venables. 1995. “Globalization and the inequality of nations.” Q. J. Econ. 110 (4): 857–880. https://doi.org/10.2307/2946642.
Li, C., J. Zhao, and Y. Xu. 2017. “Examining spatiotemporally varying effects of urban expansion and the underlying driving factors.” Sustainable Cities Soc. 28: 307–320. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scs.2016.10.005.
Li, F., and H. Li. 2012. “Spatial pattern analysis of urban sprawl: Case study of Jiangning, Nanjing, China.” J. Urban Plann. Dev. 138 (3): 263–269. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)UP.1943-5444.0000119.
Li, H., D. Y. Wei, F. H. Liao, and Z. J. Huang. 2015. “Administrative hierarchy and urban land expansion in transitional China.” Appl. Geogr. 56: 177–186. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.11.029.
Li, H. C., J. Strauss, S. X. Hu, and L. Lui. 2018. “Do high-speed railways lead to urban economic growth in China? A panel data study of China’s cities.” Q. Rev. Econ. Finance 69 (8): 70–89. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.qref.2018.04.002.
Lin, Y. 2017. “Travel costs and urban specialization patterns: Evidence from China’s high speed railway system.” J. Urban Econ. 98 (3): 98–123. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jue.2016.11.002.
Liu, J. Y., et al. 2009. “Spatial patterns and driving forces of land use change in China in the early 21st century.” [In Chinese.] Acta Geog. Sin. 64 (12): 1411–1420. https://doi.org/10.11821/xb200912001.
Liu, J. Y., Z. X. Zhang, D. F. Zhuang, Y. M. Wang, W. C. Zhou, S. W. Zhang, R. D. Li, N. Jiang, and S. X. Wu, et al. 2003. “A study on the spatial–temporal dynamic changes of land-use and driving forces analyses of China in the 1990s.” [In Chinese.] Geogr. Res. 22 (1): 1–12.
Liu, N. Q., and Y. Wu. 2017. “Can the enlargement in Yangtze River Delta boost regional economic common growth.” China Ind. Econ. 351 (06): 79–97.
Liu, X. Y., S. L. Li, and M. Qin. 2017. “Urban spatial structure and regional economic efficiency—On the mode selection of China’s urbanization development path.” [In Chinese.] Manage. World 280 (1): 51–64.
Liu, Y. S., F. Fang, and Y. H. Li. 2014. “Key issues of land use in China and implications for policy making.” Land Use Policy 40: 6–12. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2013.03.013.
Long, F. J., L. F. Zheng, and Z. D. Song. 2018. “High-speed rail and urban expansion: An empirical study using a time series of nighttime light satellite data in China.” J. Transp. Geogr. 72: 106–118. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2018.08.011.
López, T. M., T. M. Aide, and J. R. Thomlinson. 2001. “Urban expansion and the loss of prime agricultural lands in Puerto Rico.” AMBIO 30 (1): 49–54. https://doi.org/10.1579/0044-7447-30.1.49.
Ma, Y., and R. Xu. 2010. “Remote sensing monitoring and driving force analysis of urban expansion in Guangzhou City, China.” Habitat Int. 34 (2): 228–235. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2009.09.007.
Mondal, B., D. N. Das, and G. Dolui. 2015. “Modeling spatial variation of explanatory factors of urban expansion of Kolkata: A geographically weighted regression approach.” Model. Earth Syst. Environ. 1 (4): 29–42. https://doi.org/10.1007/s40808-015-0026-1.
Pandey, B., and K. C. Seto. 2015. “Urbanization and agricultural land loss in India: Comparing satellite estimates with census data.” J. Environ. Manage. 148: 53–66. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jenvman.2014.05.014.
Preston, J., and G. Wall. 2008. “The Ex-ante and ex-post economic and social impacts of the introduction of high-speed trains in South East England.” Plann. Pract. Res. 23 (3): 403–422. https://doi.org/10.1080/02697450802423641.
Qin, Y. 2017. “‘No county left behind?’ The distributional impact of high-speed rail upgrades in China.” J. Econ. Geogr. 17 (3): 489–520. https://doi.org/10.1093/jeg/lbw013.
Sands, B. 1993. “The development effects of high-speed rail stations and implications for California.” Built Environ. 19 (3/4): 257–284.
Schneider, A., and C. M. Mertes. 2014. “Expansion and growth in Chinese cities, 1978–2010.” Environ. Res. Lett. 9 (2): 024008. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/9/2/024008.
Seto, K. C., and R. K. Kaufmann. 2003. “Modeling the drivers of urban land use change in the Pearl River Delta, China: Integrating remote sensing with socioeconomic data.” Land Econ. 79 (1): 106–121. https://doi.org/10.2307/3147108.
Shen, Y., J. A. Silva, and L. M. Martínez. 2014. “Assessing high-speed rail’s impacts on land cover change in large urban areas based on spatial mixed logit methods: A case study of Madrid Atocha railway station from 1990 to 2006.” J. Transp. Geogr. 41: 184–196. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2014.09.007.
Shi, K. F., Y. Chen, B. L. Yu, T. Xu, L. Li, C. Huang, R. Liu, Z. Chen, and J. Wu. 2016. “Urban expansion and agricultural land loss in China: A multiscale perspective.” Sustainability 8 (8): 790–806. https://doi.org/10.3390/su8080790.
Song, J., J. T. Ye, E. Y. Zhu, J. S. Deng, and K. Wang. 2016. “Analyzing the impact of highways associated with farmland loss under rapid urbanization.” ISPRS Int. J. Geo-Inf. 5 (6): 94–111. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijgi5060094.
Sun, B. D., and W. Li. 2016. “City size distribution and economic performance: Evidence from city-regions in China.” [In Chinese.] Sci. Geog. Sin. 36 (3): 328–334.
Thapa, R., and Y. Murayama. 2009. “Examining spatiotemporal urbanization patterns in Kathmandu Valley, Nepal: Remote sensing and spatial metrics approaches.” Remote Sens. 1 (3): 534–556. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs1030534.
Ureña, J. M., P. Menerault, and M. Garmendia. 2009. “The high-speed rail challenge for big intermediate cities: A national, regional and local perspective.” Cities 26 (5): 266–279. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2009.07.001.
Verma, A., H. S. Sudhira, S. Rathi, R. King, and N. Dash. 2013. “Sustainable urbanization using high speed rail (HSR) in Karnataka, India.” Res. Transp. Econ. 38 (1): 67–77. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.retrec.2012.05.013.
Wang, L., and X. J. Duan. 2018. “High-speed rail network development and winner and loser cities in megaregions: The case study of Yangtze River Delta, China.” Cities 83: 71–82. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2018.06.010.
Wei, Y. D. 2015. “Zone fever, project fever: Development policy, economic transition, and urban expansion in China.” Geog. Rev. 105 (2): 156–177. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1931-0846.2014.12063.x.
Wei, Y. D., and R. Ewing. 2018. “Urban expansion, sprawl and inequality.” Landscape Urban Plann. 177: 259–265. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2018.05.021.
Wei, Y. D., and X. Ye. 2014. “Urbanization, land use and sustainable development in China.” Stochastic Environ. Res. Risk Assess. 28 (4): 755–755. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-013-0820-0.
Willigers, J., and B. van Wee. 2011. “High-speed rail and office location choices. A stated choice experiment for the Netherlands.” J. Transp. Geogr. 19 (4): 745–754. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jtrangeo.2010.09.002.
Xie, Y. C., M. Yu, G. J. Tian, and X. R. Xing. 2005. “Socio-economic driving forces of arable land conversion: A case study of Wuxian City, China.” Glob. Environ. Change 15 (3): 238–252. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2005.03.002.
Yue, W. Z., Y. Liu, and P. L. Fan. 2013. “Measuring urban sprawl and its drivers in large Chinese cities: The case of Hangzhou.” Land Use Policy 31: 358–370. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landusepol.2012.07.018.
Zhang, H., X. Li, X. Liu, Y. Chen, J. Ou, N. Niu, Y. Jin, and H. Shi. 2019. “Will the development of a high-speed railway have impacts on land use patterns in China?” Ann. Am. Assoc. Geogr. 109 (3): 979–1005. https://doi.org/10.1080/24694452.2018.1500438.
Zhang, R., L. Pu, and M. Zhu. 2013. “Impacts of transportation arteries on land use patterns in urban-rural fringe: A comparative gradient analysis of Qixia District, Nanjing City, China.” Chin. Geog. Sci. 23 (3): 378–388. https://doi.org/10.1007/s11769-012-0582-5.
Zhao, P. 2010. “Sustainable urban expansion and transportation in a growing megacity: Consequences of urban sprawl for mobility on the urban fringe of Beijing.” Habitat Int. 34 (2): 236–243. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.habitatint.2009.09.008.
Zhao, P. J., B. Lv, and G. de Roo. 2010. “Urban expansion and transportation: The impact of urban form on commuting patterns on the city fringe of Beijing.” Environ. Plann. A: Econ. Space 42 (10): 2467–2486. https://doi.org/10.1068/a4350.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 147 • Issue 3 • September 2021
Copyright
© 2021 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: May 11, 2020
Accepted: Mar 29, 2021
Published online: May 26, 2021
Published in print: Sep 1, 2021
Discussion open until: Oct 26, 2021
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.