Technical Papers
Nov 3, 2014

Fuzzy Logic–Based Travel Demand Model to Simulate Public Transport Policies

Publication: Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 141, Issue 4

Abstract

Four-stage travel demand modeling comprises of trip generation, trip distribution, mode choice, and traffic assignment. Limitations of conventional four-stage models are that they do not take into account subjectivity, imprecision, ambiguity, and vagueness involved in human decisions. In this direction, fuzzy logic is found to be the most suitable technique because it considers linguistic variables and expressions. Keeping this in view, the present study proposes to develop a methodology to consider fuzzy logic technique at different stages to develop travel demand models. The fuzzy logic–based travel demand models are developed in MATLAB software considering subtractive clustering technique. Four-stage conventional models are also developed to compare the efficiency of fuzzy logic models. The modeling results in terms R2, root-mean-square error (RMSE), and average error from both conventional and fuzzy logic models show that fuzzy logic models yield improved results in comparison to the conventional models. Further, to demonstrate the suitability of the developed fuzzy logic travel demand model, selected public transport policies are simulated considering appropriate parameters.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

The authors are grateful to the Director, CSIR-Central Road Research Institute for allowing to publish this paper. The authors also acknowledge the help rendered by the staff of CRRI during the data collection.

References

Andaman Public Work Department (APWD). (2009). “Master plan for Port Blair planning area 2030.” Final Draft Rep., Town and Country Planning Unit.
Arslan, T., and Khisty, C. J. (2004). “A rational approach to handling fuzzy perceptions in route choice.” Eur. J. Oper. Res., 168(2), 571–583.
Bataineh, K. M., Naji, M., and Saqer, M. A. (2011). “Comparison study between various fuzzy clustering algorithms.” Jordan J. Mech. Ind. Eng., 5(4), 335–343.
Census of India. (2011). Census of India 2011, 〈http://www.censusindia.gov.in/2011-prov-results/prov_data_products_ani.html〉 (Jun. 23, 2013).
Chopra, S., Mitra, R., and Kumar, V. (2004). “Identification of rules using subtractive clustering with application to fuzzy logic controllers.” Proc., 3rd Int. Conf. on Machine Learning and Cybernetics, IEEE, New York, 4125–4130.
Errampalli, M. (2008). “Fuzzy logic based microscopic traffic simulation model for transport policy evaluation.” Ph.D. thesis, Gifu Univ., Gifu, Japan.
Gupta, R., Kewalramani, M. A., and Ralegaonkar, R. V. (2003). “Environmental impact analysis using fuzzy relation for landfill siting.” J. Urban Plann. Dev., 121–139.
Kalic, Â. M., and Teodorovic, Â. D. (1997). “A soft computing approach to trip generation modeling.” 9th Mini EURO Conf. Fuzzy Sets in Traffic and Transport Systems, EURO, Univ. of Belgrade, Belgrade, Serbia.
Kalic, Â. M., and Teodorovic, Â. D. (2003). “Trip distribution modeling using fuzzy logic and genetic algorithm.” Transp. Plann. Technol., 26(3), 213–238.
Kikuchi, S., and Pursula, M. (1998). “Treatment of uncertainty in study of transportation: Fuzzy set theory and evidence theory.” J. Transp. Eng., 1–8.
Mizutani, K., and Akiyama, T. (2001). “Construction of modal choice model with a descriptive utility function using fuzzy reasoning.” Proc., International Fuzzy System Association (IFSA) World Conf., Vol. 2, IEEE, New York, 852–856.
Murat, Y. Z., and Uludag, N. (2008). “Route choice modelling in urban transport network using fuzzy logic and logistic regression methods.” J. Sci. Ind. Res., 67(1), 19–27.
Orco, M. D., Circella, G., and Sassanelli, D. (2007). “A hybrid approach to combine fuzziness and randomness in travel choice predictions.” Eur. J. Oper. Res., 185(2), 648–658.
Song, B., Hao, S., Murakami, S., and Sadohara, S. (1996). “Comprehensive evaluation method on earthquake damage using fuzzy set theory.” J. Urban Plann. Dev., 1–17.
Statistical Package for Social Sciences (SPSS), version 17 [Computer software]. India, IBM.
Teodorovic, Â. D., and Kikuchi, S. (1990). “Transportation route choice model using fuzzy inference technique.” Proc., ISUMA ‘90, 1st Int. Symp. on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, IEEE Computer Press, New York, 140–145.
Teodorovic, D., and Kalic, M. (1996). “Numerical-linguistic approach to the modal split problem.” Proc., ISUMA ‘90, 1st Int. Symp. on Uncertainty Modeling and Analysis, IEEE Computer Press, New York, 140–145.
Visum version 12 [Computer software]. Karlsruhe, Germany, PTV.
Vythoulkas, P. C., and Koutsopoulos, H. N. (2003). “Modelling discrete choice behavior using concepts from fuzzy set theory, approximate reasoning and neural network.” Transp. Res. Part C, 11(1), 51–73.
Wang, L.-X., and Mendel, J. (1992). “Generating fuzzy rules by learning from examples.” IEEE Trans. Syst. Man Cybern., 22(6), 1414–1427.
Zadeh, A. (1965). “Fuzzy sets.” Inf. Control, 8(3), 338–353.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 141Issue 4December 2015

History

Received: Dec 10, 2013
Accepted: Sep 18, 2014
Published online: Nov 3, 2014
Discussion open until: Apr 3, 2015
Published in print: Dec 1, 2015

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Sarada Pulugurta [email protected]
Trainee Scientist, Academy of Scientific and Innovative Research, Council of Scientific and Industrial research (CSIR)-Central Road Research Institute (CRRI), Mathura Rd., New Delhi 110025, India (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
Errampalli Madhu [email protected]
Principal Scientist, Transportation Planning Division, Council of Scientific and Industrial research (CSIR)-Central Road Research Institute (CRRI), Mathura Rd., New Delhi 110025, India. E-mail: [email protected]
Ravinder Kayitha [email protected]
Principal Scientist, Transportation Planning Division, Council of Scientific and Industrial research (CSIR)-Central Road Research Institute (CRRI), Mathura Rd., New Delhi 110025, India. E-mail: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share