Abstract

Corrosion is one of the most common defects of buried pipelines. Accurate prediction of the maximum pitting depth of corroded pipelines is conducive to assessing the remaining strength of the pipeline. In the context of big data, machine learning has been proved to have good results. However, previous studies have less consideration of feature selection in modeling, so that the interpretation of corrosion mechanism in machine learning model is not clear enough. This paper aims to develop a novel intelligent framework to accurately predict the maximum pitting depth of buried pipelines. The framework utilizes correlation analysis to extract features from many factors related to corrosion depth, and then uses a hybrid machine learning tool to predict the maximum pitting depth. Through empirical analysis, it is found that the pipe age of buried pipelines is the leading factor for pipeline corrosion. The prediction model proposed in this paper uses an improved gray wolf optimizer to optimize the support vector machine, and compares the prediction results with eight other benchmark models. It is concluded that the proposed model has the best prediction accuracy and stability. Finally, this paper discusses the influence of feature analysis on the prediction results, showing that this operation can effectively improve the model’s prediction performance and enhance interpretability.

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Data Availability Statement

Some or all data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.

Acknowledgments

This study was financially supported by the 2022 Open Project of Failure Mechanics and Engineering Disaster Prevention, Key Lab of Sichuan Province (Grant No. FMEDP202212); and the National Key Research and Development Program of China (2019YFE0121900); the Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities.

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Go to Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities
Journal of Performance of Constructed Facilities
Volume 36Issue 5October 2022

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Received: Feb 7, 2022
Accepted: May 12, 2022
Published online: Jul 29, 2022
Published in print: Oct 1, 2022
Discussion open until: Dec 29, 2022

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Hongfang Lu, Ph.D., A.M.ASCE [email protected]
Associate Professor, China-Pakistan Belt and Road Joint Laboratory on Smart Disaster Prevention of Major Infrastructures, Southeast Univ., Nanjing 210096, China. Email: [email protected]
Haoyan Peng, S.M.ASCE [email protected]
Graduate Student, School of Civil Engineering, Southeast Univ., Nanjing 211189, China. Email: [email protected]
Zhao-Dong Xu, Ph.D., A.M.ASCE [email protected]
Professor, China-Pakistan Belt and Road Joint Laboratory on Smart Disaster Prevention of Major Infrastructures, Southeast Univ., Nanjing 210096, China (corresponding author). Email: [email protected]
John C. Matthews, Ph.D., A.M.ASCE [email protected]
Associate Professor, Trenchless Technology Center, Louisiana Tech Univ., Ruston, LA 71270. Email: [email protected]
Niannian Wang, Ph.D. [email protected]
Professor, School of Water Science and Engineering, Zhengzhou Univ., Zhengzhou 450000, China. Email: [email protected]
Tom Iseley, Ph.D., Dist.M.ASCE [email protected]
P.E.
Professor, Dept. of Construction Engineering and Management, Purdue Univ., West Lafayette, IN 47907. Email: [email protected]

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