Exploring the Patterns of Prefabrication Technology Diffusion among Construction Enterprises: A Two-Stage Evolutionary Model on a Complex Network
Publication: ICCREM 2023
ABSTRACT
Prefabrication technology (PT) is regarded as an effective way to reduce CO2 emissions from material and construction stages of buildings. However, constrained by the ambiguous patterns of PT diffusion, the application of this technology in China faces a lot of difficulties and lags far behind developed countries. To overcome this problem, this study proposes a two-stage evolutionary model based on complex network. The results show that: (1) Before 2016 was the initial stage of introducing PT into the Chinese market, and the diffusion rate is below 4.9%. (2) From 2016 to 2025 is the policy-driven stage. More adopters emerge under both incentive and mandatory policies proposed by governments, so the diffusion rate rapidly rises to around 33%. (3) From 2025 to 2035, the development of PT will enter a stage driven by both policies and market effects. The amount of market adoption grows steadily, which helps the overall diffusion rate increase to about 45%.
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Information & Authors
Information
Published In
ICCREM 2023
Pages: 678 - 687
History
Published online: Nov 30, 2023
ASCE Technical Topics:
- [Inorganic compounds]
- Air pollution
- Buildings
- Business management
- Carbon compounds
- Carbon dioxide
- Chemicals
- Chemistry
- Construction engineering
- Construction industry
- Construction management
- Construction materials
- Diffusion
- Emissions
- Engineering materials (by type)
- Engineering mechanics
- Environmental engineering
- Materials engineering
- Offsite construction
- Organic compounds
- Pollution
- Practice and Profession
- Public administration
- Public policy
- Structural engineering
- Structures (by type)
- Thermodynamics
- Transport phenomena
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