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Dec 14, 2021
COVID-19 Has Negative Impacts on Urban Traffic Recovery: A Statistical Analysis Study Based on Thirty Cities’ Data in China
Authors: Jiawei Gui [email protected], Qunqi Wu [email protected], and Yiping Wang [email protected]Author Affiliations
Publication: CICTP 2021
ABSTRACT
To ensure traffic safety, many related works have been done to avoid traveler injury during trips. However, new public health issues threaten traffic safety because travelers might get ill during trips. The more people infected by COVID-19, the more unsafe urban traffic becomes. This paper aims to verify whether COVID-19 has negative impacts on urban traffic recovery. Based on thirty Chinese cities’ data, robust fixed-effects (within) regression was adopted to analyze impacts with a linear regression method. The regression results suggest that Urban Traffic Activity Index (UTAI) was positively associated with UTAI itself with short-term effect, meaning that UTAI could recover by itself, and new confirmed cases (NC) were negatively associated with UTAI with long-term effect, meaning that NC would prevent UTAI recovery. The findings also suggest that it is better for city governments to eliminate outbreaks before restarting economies. Future directions include improving models, grouping cities, and expanding data.
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Published online: Dec 14, 2021
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1College of Transportation Engineering, Chang’an Univ., Xi’an, Shanxi, China. Email: [email protected]
2Center of Comprehensive Transportation Economic Management, Chang’an Univ., Xi’an, Shanxi, China. Email: [email protected]
3School of Economics and Management, Chang’an Univ., Xi’an, Shanxi, China. Email: [email protected]
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Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.