Chapter
Apr 26, 2012
A Bayesian MCMC Approach to Study the Safety of Vessel Traffic
Authors: Fengyang Yin [email protected], Junmin Mou [email protected], and Jianhua Qiu [email protected]Author Affiliations
Publication: ICTIS 2011: Multimodal Approach to Sustained Transportation System Development: Information, Technology, Implementation
Abstract
More and more attention has been directed to the vessel traffic safety, especially in the sensitive area such as in the vicinity of big dams. Since the uncertainty of the vessel traffic risk, the traditional way in analysis is inadequate. This paper introduces a novel method, a Bayesian MCMC approach to study the safety of vessel traffic. By learning the vessel traffic accidents and in-depth investigating the contributors, an effective Bayesian Network has been developed. The results show the method can be used for decision support in vessel traffic management.
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Published In
ICTIS 2011: Multimodal Approach to Sustained Transportation System Development: Information, Technology, Implementation
Pages: 1838 - 1847
Copyright
© 2011 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published online: Apr 26, 2012
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Affiliations
Master Candidate, Navigation School, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan City, Hubei Province, P.R.of China.E-mail: [email protected]
Associate Professor, Navigation School, Wuhan University of Technology, Wuhan City, Hubei Province, P.R.of China.E-mail: [email protected]
Senior Engineer, Changjing Three Gorges Navigation Administration, Yichang City, Hubei Province, P.R.of China.E-mail: [email protected]
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