Chapter
Apr 26, 2012
The Applied Research on Forecasting Cargo Volume of Northeast Economic Zone by Systemic Dynamics
Authors: Shuzhi Zhao [email protected], Tonghe Ni [email protected], and Yonggang Zhu [email protected]Author Affiliations
Publication: ICCTP 2009: Critical Issues In Transportation Systems Planning, Development, and Management
Abstract
This paper researches the northeast economic zone, analyzes the impact factors of cargo, establishes the relationship between various factors and cargo by linear regression through the AHP, determines the weight of various factors, forms the systemic dynamics model on forecasting cargo volume in northeast economic zone, and proves the validity of the model through error analysis. In addition, the paper does a forecast for the cargo volume of the northeast economic zone 2011 to 2015, and its results can provide references for integrative transportation in northeast economic zone.
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Published In
ICCTP 2009: Critical Issues In Transportation Systems Planning, Development, and Management
Pages: 1 - 7
Copyright
© 2009 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published online: Apr 26, 2012
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Affiliations
Department of Transportation Planning and Management, Transportation and Traffic College, Jilin University, 130025, ChangChun,. E-mail: [email protected]
Department of Transportation Planning and Management, Transportation and Traffic College, Jilin University, 130025, ChangChun,. E-mail: [email protected]
Department of Transportation Planning and Management, Transportation and Traffic College, Jilin University, 130025, ChangChun,. E-mail: [email protected]
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