Chapter
Apr 26, 2012
Dealing with Stochastic Dependence in the Modeling of Train Delays and Delay Propagation
Publication: International Conference on Transportation Engineering 2007
Abstract
This paper deals with stochastic dependence in the modeling of train delays and delay propagation. Three types of delay dependence are first formulated and a probabilistic model of delay propagation in complex stations is then described. Model validation reveals that the delay estimates match with empirical data very well. The proposed model enables an objective assessment of timetable stability and a realistic prediction of train punctuality given primary delays.
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Published In
International Conference on Transportation Engineering 2007
Pages: 3908 - 3914
Copyright
© 2007 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published online: Apr 26, 2012
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Department of Transport and Planning, Delft University of Technology, Stevinweg 1, 2600 CN Delft, the Netherlands,. E-mail: [email protected]
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ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.