Urban Sprawl Susceptibility Analysis of Sialkot City by Using Multicriteria Evaluation and Analytical Hierarchy Process
Publication: Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 148, Issue 2
Abstract
Cities have been growing rapidly over the past 30 years. This urban growth requires proper planning for sustainable development. Considering the possible future urban planning problems to Sialkot city, Pakistan, it is taken as a study area because of its significance as an industrial and economically emerging city. This study applied Remote Sensing (RS) and Geographical Information Systems (GISs) to recognize, compute, analyze, and plot urban sprawl susceptibility. A multicriteria evaluation method was used, employing factors such as land cover, Digital Elevation Model (DEM), population density, and road proximity as inputs. The weights of all input factors were estimated according to urban sprawl dynamics between the years 1990, 2000, 2010, and 2020. The Analytical Hierarchy Process (AHP) was used for Sialkot city to assess the susceptibility of urban sprawl and pattern. The outcomes showed that 118 km2 (45%) of the area was not susceptible, 62 km2 (24%) was slightly susceptible, while 42 km2 (16%) was restrained susceptible, and 38 km2 (15%) was extremely susceptible to urban sprawl. We found a linear scattered and leapfrog sprawl pattern in the study area. The substantial variations in the field of study for 30 years showed threats for fertile farming land and other natural resources, consequently threatening the production and security of food. The findings of this research would aid the government in monitoring and estimating susceptible sprawl to prevent agricultural land and ecology.
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Acknowledgments
The authors wish to acknowledge the USGS for providing Landsat imagery freely, OSM for the road network, and QGIS for providing a mapping platform. The authors acknowledge the editor and anonymous reviewers who helped improve this article with their suggestions.
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Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 148 • Issue 2 • June 2022
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© 2022 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Jan 11, 2021
Accepted: Nov 18, 2021
Published online: Feb 21, 2022
Published in print: Jun 1, 2022
Discussion open until: Jul 21, 2022
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