Hybrid Framework for Forecasting Circular Excavation Collapse: Combining Physics-Based and Data-Driven Modeling
Publication: Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 147, Issue 12
Abstract
The use of supporting fluids to stabilize excavations is a common technique adopted in the construction industry. Rapid detection of incipient collapse for deep excavations and timely decision making are crucial to ensure safety during construction. This paper explores a hybrid framework for forecasting the collapse of fluid-supported circular excavations by combining physics-based and data-driven modeling. Finite-element limit analysis is first used to develop a numerical database of stability numbers for both unsupported and fluid-supported circular excavations. The parameters considered in the modeling include excavation geometry, soil strength profile, and support fluid properties. A data-driven algorithm is used to learn the numerical results to develop a fast surrogate amenable for integration within real-time monitoring systems. By way of example, the proposed forecasting strategy is retrospectively applied to a recent field monitoring case history where the observational method is used to update the input parameters of the data-driven surrogate.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Data Availability Statement
Some or all data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request.
Acknowledgments
This project was funded by the Royal Academy of Engineering under the Research Fellowship scheme. The author gratefully acknowledges the support and input from Ward and Burke Construction Ltd.
References
Bjerrum, L., and O. Eide. 1956. “Stability of strutted excavations in clay.” Géotechnique 6 (1): 32–47. https://doi.org/10.1680/geot.1956.6.1.32.
Britto, A. M., and O. Kusakabe. 1982. “Stability of unsupported axisymmetric excavations in soft clay.” Géotechnique 32 (3): 261–270. https://doi.org/10.1680/geot.1982.32.3.261.
Britto, A. M., and O. Kusakabe. 1983. “Stability of axisymmetric excavations in clays.” J. Geotech. Eng. 109 (5): 666–681. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9410(1983)109:5(666).
Filz, G. M., T. Adams, and R. R. Davidson. 2004. “Stability of long trenches in sand supported by bentonite-water slurry.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng. 130 (9): 915–921. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1090-0241(2004)130:9(915).
Fox, P. J. 2004. “Analytical solutions for stability of slurry trench.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng. 130 (7): 749–758. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1090-0241(2004)130:7(749).
Griffiths, D. V., and N. Koutsabeloulis. 1985. “Finite element analysis of vertical excavations.” Comput. Geotech. 1 (3): 221–235. https://doi.org/10.1016/0266-352X(85)90025-4.
Khatri, V. N., and J. Kumar. 2010. “Stability of an unsupported vertical circular excavation in clays under undrained condition.” Comput. Geotech. 37 (3): 419–424. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compgeo.2009.11.001.
Kohavi, R. 1995. “A study of cross-validation and bootstrap for accuracy estimation and model selection.” In Vol. 14 of Proc., Int. Joint Conf. on Artificial Intelligence, 1137–1145. Montréal: Morgan Kaufmann.
Kumar, J., and D. Chakraborty. 2012. “Stability number for an unsupported vertical circular excavation in c–ϕ soil.” Comput. Geotech. 39 (7): 79–84. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compgeo.2011.08.002.
Kumar, J., M. Chakraborty, and J. P. Sahoo. 2014. “Stability of unsupported vertical circular excavation.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng. 140 (7): 04014028. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)GT.1943-5606.0001118.
Li, Y., F. Emeriault, R. Kastner, and Z. X. Zhang. 2009. “Stability analysis of large slurry shield-driven tunnel in soft clay.” Tunnelling Underground Space Technol. 24 (4): 472–481. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2008.10.007.
Li, Y.-C., P. Qian, P. J. Cleall, Y. M. Chen, and H. Ke. 2013. “Stability analysis of slurry trenches in similar layered soils.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng. 139 (12): 2104–2109. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)GT.1943-5606.0000958.
Lyamin, A. V., and S. W. Sloan. 2002a. “Lower bound limit analysis using non-linear programming.” Int. J. Numer. Methods Eng. 55 (5): 573–611. https://doi.org/10.1002/nme.511.
Lyamin, A. V., and S. W. Sloan. 2002b. “Upper bound limit analysis using linear finite elements and non-linear programming.” Int. J. Numer. Anal. Methods Geomech. 26 (2): 181–216. https://doi.org/10.1002/nag.198.
Makrodimopoulos, A., and C. M. Martin. 2005. “Limit analysis using large-scale SOCP optimization.” In Proc. 13th National Conf. of UK Association for Computational Mechanics in Engineering, 21–24. Newcastle upon Tyne, UK: Association of Computational Mechanics in Engineering.
Makrodimopoulos, A., and C. M. Martin. 2006. “Lower bound limit analysis of cohesive-frictional materials using second-order cone programming.” Int. J. Numer. Methods Eng. 66 (4): 604–634. https://doi.org/10.1002/nme.1567.
Makrodimopoulos, A., and C. M. Martin. 2007. “Upper bound limit analysis using simplex strain elements and second-order cone programming.” Int. J. Numer. Anal. Methods Geomech. 31 (6): 835–865. https://doi.org/10.1002/nag.567.
Makrodimopoulos, A., and C. M. Martin. 2008. “Upper bound limit analysis using discontinuous quadratic displacement fields.” Commun. Numer. Methods Eng. 24 (11): 911–927. https://doi.org/10.1002/cnm.998.
Martin, C. M. 2011. “The use of adaptive finite-element limit analysis to reveal slip-line fields.” Géotech. Lett. 1 (2): 23–29. https://doi.org/10.1680/geolett.11.00018.
Masters, T. 1993. Practical neural network recipes in C++. San Diego: Academic Press.
Morgenstern, N., and I. Amir-Tahmasseb. 1965. “The stability of a slurry trench in cohesionless soils.” Géotechnique 15 (4): 387–395. https://doi.org/10.1680/geot.1965.15.4.387.
Ng, C. W. W., and R. W. M. Yan. 1999. “Three-dimensional modelling of a diaphragm wall construction sequence.” Géotechnique 49 (6): 825–834. https://doi.org/10.1680/geot.1999.49.6.825.
O’Dwyer, K. G., B. A. McCabe, and B. B. Sheil. 2020. “Interpretation of pipe-jacking and lubrication records for drives in silty sand.” Underground Space 5 (3): 199209.https://doi.org/10.1016/j.undsp.2019.04.001.
O’Dwyer, K. G., B. A. McCabe, B. B. Sheil, and D. P. Hernon. 2018. “Blackpool South Strategy Project: Analysis of pipe-jacking records.” In Proc., Civil Engineering Research in Ireland (CERI 2018), 265–270. Dublin, Ireland: Civil Engineering Research Association of Ireland.
Optum Computational Engineering. 2016. Optum G2. Newcastle, NSW, Australia: Optum Computational Engineering.
Pastor, J., and S. Turgeman. 1982. “Limit analysis in axisymmetrical problems: Numerical determination of complete statical solutions.” Int. J. Mech. Sci. 24 (2): 95–117. https://doi.org/10.1016/0020-7403(82)90041-8.
Peck, R. B. 1969. “Advantages and limitations of the observational method in applied soil mechanics.” Géotechnique 19 (2): 171–187. https://doi.org/10.1680/geot.1969.19.2.171.
Pedregosa, F., et al. 2011. “Scikit-learn: Machine learning in Python.” J. Mach. Learn. Res. 12 (1): 2825–2830.
Poh, T. Y., and I. H. Wong. 1998. “Effects of construction of diaphragm wall panels on adjacent ground: Field trial.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng. 124 (8): 749–756. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1090-0241(1998)124:8(749).
Royston, R. 2018a. “Investigation of soil-structure interaction for large diameter caissons.” D.Phil. thesis, Dept. of Engineering Science, Univ. of Oxford.
Royston, R. 2018b. “Monitoring the construction of a large diameter caisson in clay.” In Proc., 26th European Young Geotechnical Engineers Conf. London: International Society for Soil Mechanics and Geotechnical Engineering.
Royston, R., B. Phillips, B. B. Sheil, and B. W. Byrne. 2016. “Bearing capacity beneath tapered blades of open dug caissons in sand.” In Proc., Civil Engineering Research in Ireland 2016, 473–478. Dublin, Ireland: Civil Engineering Research Association of Ireland.
Royston, R., B. B. Sheil, and B. W. Byrne. 2020a. “Monitoring the construction of a large-diameter caisson in sand.” Proc. Inst. Civ. Eng. Geotech. Eng. https://doi.org/10.1680/jgeen.19.00266.
Royston, R., B. B. Sheil, and B. W. Byrne. 2020b. “Undrained bearing capacity of the cutting face of large-diameter caissons.” Géotechnique https://doi.org/10.1680/jgeot.20.P.210.
Sheil, B. 2021. “Prediction of microtunnelling jacking forces using a probabilistic observational approach.” Tunnelling Underground Space Technol. 109 (Mar): 103749. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tust.2020.103749.
Sheil, B., and J. Templeman. Forthcoming. “Bearing capacity of large-diameter open caissons embedded in sand.” Géotechnique.
Sheil, B. B., R. Royston, and B. W. Byrne. 2018. “Real-time monitoring of large-diameter caissons.” In Proc., China-Europe Conf. on Geotechnical Engineering, 725–729. New York: Springer.
Sheil, B. B., S. K. Suryasentana, and W.-C. Cheng. 2020a. “Assessment of anomaly detection methods applied to microtunneling.” J. Geotech. Geoenviron. Eng. 146 (9): 04020094. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)GT.1943-5606.0002326.
Sheil, B. B., S. K. Suryasentana, M. A. Mooney, and H. Zhu. 2020b. “Machine learning to inform tunnelling operations: Recent advances and future trends.” In Proc. Inst. Civ. Eng. Smart Infrastruct. Constr. https://doi.org/10.1680/jsmic.20.00011.
Sheil, B. B., S. K. Suryasentana, M. A. Mooney, H. Zhu, B. A. McCabe, and K. G. O’Dwyer. 2020c. “Machine learning to inform tunnelling operations: Recent advances and future trends.” Proc. Inst. Civ. Eng. Smart Infrastruct. Constr. 173 (1): 180–181. https://doi.org/10.1680/jsmic.2020.173.1.180.
Sloan, S. W. 1982. “Numerical analysis of incompressible and plastic solids using finite elements.” Ph.D. dissertation, Dept. of Engineering, Univ. of Cambridge.
Sloan, S. W. 1988. “Lower bound limit analysis using finite elements and linear programming.” Int. J. Numer. Anal. Methods Geomech. 12 (1): 61–77. https://doi.org/10.1002/nag.1610120105.
Sloan, S. W. 1989. “Upper bound limit analysis using finite elements and linear programming.” Int. J. Numer. Anal. Methods Geomech. 13 (3): 263–282. https://doi.org/10.1002/nag.1610130304.
Templeman, J. O., B. M. Phillips, and B. B. Sheil. 2021. “Cutting shoe design for open caissons in sand: Influence on vertical bearing capacity.” Proc. Inst. Civ. Eng. Geotech. Eng. https://doi.org/10.1680/jgeen.20.00218.
Whitlow, R. 1990. Basic soil mechanics. Essex, UK: Longman.
Zhang, J., Y. Gao, T. Feng, J. Yang, and F. Yang. 2018. “Upper-bound finite-element analysis of axisymmetric problems using a mesh adaptive strategy.” Comput. Geotech. 102 (Oct): 148–154. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compgeo.2018.06.008.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering
Volume 147 • Issue 12 • December 2021
Copyright
© 2021 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Sep 6, 2019
Accepted: Jul 23, 2021
Published online: Sep 20, 2021
Published in print: Dec 1, 2021
Discussion open until: Feb 20, 2022
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.
Cited by
- William Hughes, Sita Nyame, William Taylor, Aaron Spaulding, Mingguo Hong, Xiaochuan Luo, Slava Maslennikov, Diego Cerrai, Emmanouil Anagnostou, Wei Zhang, A Probabilistic Method for Integrating Physics-Based and Data-Driven Storm Outage Prediction Models for Power Systems, ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering, 10.1061/AJRUA6.RUENG-1171, 10, 2, (2024).
- Cunyang Zhang, Yue Pan, Yongmao Hou, Jinjian Chen, An Intelligent Model Mixing Physics Mechanism and Field Data for Ground Settlement Prediction during Pipe-Roofing Excavation, Geo-Risk 2023, 10.1061/9780784484975.022, (200-210), (2023).
- Kaixin Liu, Samuel T. Ariaratnam, Peng Zhang, Xiaolong Chen, Jing Wang, Baosong Ma, Yunlong Zhang, Xin Feng, Tianshuo Xu, Mechanical response of diaphragm wall supporting deep launch shaft induced by braced excavation and pipe jacking operation, Tunnelling and Underground Space Technology, 10.1016/j.tust.2023.104998, 134, (104998), (2023).
- Huaming Tian, Yu Wang, Data-driven and physics-informed Bayesian learning of spatiotemporally varying consolidation settlement from sparse site investigation and settlement monitoring data, Computers and Geotechnics, 10.1016/j.compgeo.2023.105328, 157, (105328), (2023).
- Z.L. Zhang, X.L. Yang, Unified solution of safety factors for three-dimensional compound slopes considering local and global instability, Computers and Geotechnics, 10.1016/j.compgeo.2022.105227, 155, (105227), (2023).
- Brian Sheil, Jack Templeman, Bearing capacity of open caissons embedded in sand, Géotechnique, 10.1680/jgeot.21.00089, (1-11), (2022).
- Brian B. Sheil, Stephen K. Suryasentana, Jack O. Templeman, Bryn M. Phillips, Wen-Chieh Cheng, Limin Zhang, Prediction of Pipe-Jacking Forces Using a Bayesian Updating Approach, Journal of Geotechnical and Geoenvironmental Engineering, 10.1061/(ASCE)GT.1943-5606.0002645, 148, 1, (2022).