TECHNICAL PAPERS
May 15, 2002

Markov Model for Storm Water Pipe Deterioration

Publication: Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 8, Issue 2

Abstract

Effective management of storm water pipe networks requires an accurate assessment of the structural condition of the pipes. Indeed, the recent introduction of Australian accounting standard AAS27 compels local governments to prepare annual financial statements, including the depreciated value of their storm water network. A rational approach to assessing depreciation is to base it on structural deterioration. This study presents a Markov model for the structural deterioration of storm water pipes. The model is calibrated, using Bayesian techniques, to structural condition data from the storm water asset database of the Newcastle City Council (Australia). It is shown that the Markov model is consistent with the data. The pipe characteristics of diameter, construction material, soil type, and exposure classification were found to influence the deterioration process. It is also shown that the depreciation methods required by AAS27 significantly overestimate the structural deterioration.

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References

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Published In

Go to Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Journal of Infrastructure Systems
Volume 8Issue 2June 2002
Pages: 49 - 56

History

Received: Sep 11, 2001
Accepted: Jan 31, 2002
Published online: May 15, 2002
Published in print: Jun 2002

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Authors

Affiliations

Tom Micevski
Postgraduate Student, Dept. of Civil, Surveying and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Newcastle, Callaghan, NSW, 2308, Australia.
George Kuczera
Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil, Surveying and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Newcastle, Callaghan, NSW, 2308, Australia.
Peter Coombes
Postgraduate Student, Dept. of Civil, Surveying and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Newcastle, Callaghan, NSW, 2308, Australia.

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