Research Article
Nov 1975
Countywide Land Use Forecasts
Publication: Journal of the Urban Planning and Development Division
Volume 101, Issue 2
Abstract
This report presents the procedure used for developing land-use forecasts for the Cumberland County, New Jersey Urban Area Transportation Study. The procedure allocates population and employment to traffic zones based on: (1) Total study area forecasts; (2) a random number generator to simulate the introduction of new employers or housing into the study area; and (3) location criteria applied to small areal units. The departure embodied in this work is principally the scale of effort required to accomplish the task. The Cumberland Study staff did not have the resources required by the elaborate models used in large cities. The procedure presented herein made some of the concepts of these models available for the Cumberland Study by emphasizing manual rather than machine techniques. The resulting land use forecast was considerably more sophisticated than the seat-of-the-pants approach which might otherwise have been used.
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Published In
Journal of the Urban Planning and Development Division
Volume 101 • Issue 2 • November 1975
Pages: 135 - 145
Copyright
© 1975 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published in print: Nov 1975
Published online: Feb 12, 2021
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Authors
Affiliations
Robert E. Heightchew Jr., AM.ASCE
Transportation Engr., Highway Users Federation for Safety and Mobility, Washington, D.C.
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ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.