Technical Papers
Mar 31, 2020

Quantifying Resilience via Multiscale Feedback Loops in Water Distribution Networks

Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 146, Issue 6

Abstract

Water distribution network (WDN) resilience depends on both the underlying flow dynamics and the network topology. Although existing literature has examined a variety of complex network centrality and spectral properties, very little attention has been given to understand multiscale flow-based feedback loops and their impact on overall stability. Here, high-dimensional resilience arising from multiscale feedback loops is inferred using a compressed one-dimensional proxy measure called trophic coherence. This is hypothesized to have a strong impact on both the pressure deficit and the water age. The results show that trophic coherence is positively correlated with the time to recovery (0.62–0.52), but it is negatively correlated with the diffusion of a disruption (0.66 to 0.52). Finally, random forest analysis is used to combine resilience measures, showing that the new resilience ensemble provides a more accurate measure for networked resilience.

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Data Availability Statement

The water distribution network data and models used during the study were provided by a third party. Direct requests for these materials may be made to the provider as indicated in the “Data Set” section. The code generated or used during the study is available from the corresponding author by request.

Acknowledgments

The authors A. P., M. M., and W. G. acknowledge funding from the Lloyd’s Register Foundation’s Programme for Data-Centric Engineering at the Alan Turing Institute. The authors M. M., G. F., and W. G. acknowledge funding from the Alan Turing Institute under the EPSRC Grant No. EP/N510129/1. The authors F. M. and G. F. acknowledge funding from EPSRC BRIM: Building Resilience into Risk Management (EP/N010329/1). The authors acknowledge Microsoft Corporation for providing cloud resources on Microsoft Azure via the Alan Turing Institute. A. P. conducted the simulations and analysis. F. M. and G. F. advised on the water distribution simulation, state of the art, and provided data. M. M. and W. G. advised on the complex network state of the art. W. G. and A. P. developed the methodology for analysis. All authors contributed to writing the paper.

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Go to Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 146Issue 6June 2020

History

Received: May 16, 2019
Accepted: Jan 13, 2020
Published online: Mar 31, 2020
Published in print: Jun 1, 2020
Discussion open until: Aug 31, 2020

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Authors

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Research Associate, Alan Turing Institute, London NW1 2DB, UK (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8404-8890. Email: [email protected]
Fanlin Meng, Ph.D. [email protected]
Associate Research Fellow, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, Univ. of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4PY, UK. Email: [email protected]
Guangtao Fu, Ph.D. [email protected]
Professor of Water Intelligence, College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, Univ. of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4PY, UK; Turing Fellow, Alan Turing Institute, London NW1 2DB, UK. Email: [email protected]
Mirco Musolesi, Ph.D. [email protected]
Reader in Data Science, Dept. of Geography, Univ. College London, London WC1E 6BT, UK; Turing Fellow, Alan Turing Institute, London NW1 2DB, UK. Email: [email protected]
Weisi Guo, Ph.D. [email protected]
Associate Professor, School of Engineering, Univ. of Warwick, Coventry CV4 7AL, UK; Turing Fellow, Alan Turing Institute, London NW1 2DB, UK. Email: [email protected]

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