Linear Algebra and Minimum Relative Entropy to Investigate Contamination Events in Drinking Water Systems
Publication: Journal of Water Resources Planning and Management
Volume 136, Issue 4
Abstract
A two-step approach is proposed to assist forensic investigation of possible source locations following a contaminant detection in drinking water systems. Typically this identification problem is ill posed as it has more unknowns than observations. First, linear algebra is employed to rule out potential contaminant injections. Second, an entropic-based Bayesian inversion technique, the minimum relative entropy method, solves for the remaining variables. This formulation allows for the less committed prior distribution with respect to unknown information and can include model uncertainties and measurement errors. The solution is a space-time contaminant concentration probability density function accounting for the various possible injections that may be the cause of the observed data. Besides, a probability measure quantifying the odds of being the actual location of contamination is assigned to each potential source. Effectiveness and features of the method are studied on two example networks.
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Acknowledgments
Cemagref received funding from the European Community's Seventh Framework Programme (FP7/2007-2011) under Grant Agreement No. 21796 for the research leading to these results.
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Received: Apr 22, 2009
Accepted: Nov 1, 2009
Published online: Nov 11, 2009
Published in print: Jul 2010
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