Case Studies
Oct 23, 2020

Drinking Water Pipeline Failure Analysis Based on Spatiotemporal Clustering and Poisson Regression

Publication: Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice
Volume 12, Issue 1

Abstract

Extended high fluctuations of internal water pressure have often been causally linked to pipeline failures in water distribution systems, especially when this exposure has continued over many years. However, as yet, there is little solid quantitative evidence to support this in real water systems. This paper examines the impact of internal pressure and other critical parameters on the integrity of water pipelines in five districts operated by a California water utility. Eight years of data from the utility’s Annual Pressure Survey and 25  years of water pipeline failure data were collectively analyzed using spatiotemporal clustering tools and a Poisson regression model. The analytical procedures and results presented in this paper are designed to support both the water utility’s short-term operations and its long-term programmatic drinking water pipeline planning and management practices.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

Some or all pipeline layout/failure data, GIS models, or code generated or used during the study are proprietary or confidential in nature and may only be provided with restrictions (e.g., anonymized data).

Acknowledgments

The authors would like to thank the California Water Service Company for providing the funding for this research.

References

ASCE. 2011. “Failure to act: The economic impact of current investment trends in water and wastewater treatment infrastructure.” Accessed October 6, 2018. https://www.asce.org/water_and_wastewater_report/.
AWWA. 2012. Buried no longer: Confronting America’s water infrastructure challenge. Denver: American Water Works Association.
California Department of Water Resources. 2016. “California drought.” Accessed September 22, 2018. https://water.ca.gov/Water-Basics/Drought.
Cameron, A. C., and P. K. Trivedi. 1998. Regression analysis of count data. New York: Cambridge Press.
CPUC (California Public Utilities Commission). 2009. General order 103-A, section VII-6-F, annual pressure survey (APS). San Jose, CA: CPUC.
ESRI (Environmental Systems Research Institute). 2019. “Hot spot analysis (Getis-Ord GI*).” Accessed April 10, 2019. http://desktop.arcgis.com/en/arcmap/10.3/tools/spatial-statistics-toolbox/hot-spot-analysis.htm.
Folkman, S. 2018. “Water main break rates in the USA and Canada: A comprehensive study.” Accessed June 18, 2020. https://digitalcommons.usu.edu/mae_facpub/174.
Ganesan, S., D. Martínez-García, J. Lee, J. Keck, and P. Yang. 2017. “Spatio-temporal water mains integrity management program for California.” In Proc., World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2017, 523–533. Reston, VA: ASCE.
Giustolisi, O., D. Laucelli, and D. Savic. 2006. “Development of rehabilitation plans for water mains replacement considering risk and cost-benefit assessment.” Civ. Eng. Environ. Syst. 23 (3): 175–190. https://doi.org/10.1080/10286600600789375.
Gungor-Demirci, G., J. Lee, and J. Keck. 2017. “Measuring water utility performance using nonparametric linear programming.” Civ. Eng. Environ. Syst. 34 (3–4): 206–220. https://doi.org/10.1080/10286608.2018.1425403.
Gungor-Demirci, G., J. Lee, and J. Keck. 2018. “Assessing the performance of a California water utility using two-stage data envelopment analysis.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage. 144 (4): 05018004. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)WR.1943-5452.0000921.
Keck, J., and J. Lee. 2015. “A new model for industry–university partnerships.” J. Am. Water Works Assoc. 107 (11): 84–90. https://doi.org/10.5942/jawwa.2015.107.0161.
Kleiner, Y., and B. Rajani. 2001. “Comprehensive review of structural deterioration of water mains: Statistical models.” Urban Water 3 (3): 131–150. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1462-0758(01)00033-4.
Lee, J., V. Lohani, A. Dietrich, and G. V. Loganathan. 2012. “Hydraulic transients in plumbing systems.” Water Sci. Technol. Water Supply 12 (5): 619–629. https://doi.org/10.2166/ws.2012.036.
Lee, J., and S. Tanverakul. 2015. “Price elasticity of residential water demand in California.” J. Water Supply Res. Technol. AQUA 64 (2): 211–218. https://doi.org/10.2166/aqua.2014.082.
Martínez García, D., J. Lee, J. Keck, J. Kooy, P. Yang, and B. Wilfley. 2020. “Case study: pressure-based analysis of water main failures in California.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage. 146 (9): 05020016. https://doi.org/10.1061/%28ASCE%29WR.1943-5452.0001255.
Martínez García, D., J. Lee, J. Keck, P. Yang, and R. Guzzetta. 2018. “Hot spot analysis of water main failures in California.” J. Am. Water Works Assoc. 110 (6): E39–E49. https://doi.org/1010.1002/awwa.1039.
Martínez García, D., J. Lee, J. Keck, P. Yang, and R. Guzzetta. 2019a. “Spatiotemporal and deterioration assessment of water main failures.” AWWA Water Sci. 1 (5): e1159.
Martínez García, D., J. Lee, J. Keck, P. Yang, and R. Guzzetta. 2019b. “Utilizing spatiotemporal based business risk exposure to analyze cast iron water main failures in California.” J. Water Supply Res. Technol. AQUA 68 (2): 111–120. https://doi.org/10.2166/aqua.2019.120.
Oliveira, D., D. Neill, J. Garrett, and L. Soibelman. 2011. “Detection of patterns in water distribution pipe breakage using spatial scan statistics for point events in a physical network.” J. Comput. Civ. Eng. 25 (1): 21–30. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)CP.1943-5487.0000079.
Pelletier, G., A. Mailhot, and J. Villeneuve. 2003. “Modeling water pipe breaks—Three case studies.” J. Water Resour. Plann. Manage. 129 (2): 115–123. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)0733-9496(2003)129:2(115).
Rajani, B. B., and Y. Kleiner. 2001. “Comprehensive review of structural deterioration of water mains: Physically based models.” Urban Water 3 (3): 151–164. https://doi.org/10.1016/S1462-0758(01)00032-2.
Shi, W., A. Zhang, and O. Ho. 2013. “Spatial analysis of water mains failure clusters and factors: A Hong Kong case study.” Ann. Gis 19 (2): 89–97. https://doi.org/10.1080/19475683.2013.782509.
Tabesh, M., M. R. Delavar, and A. Delkhah. 2010. “Use of geospatial information system based tool for renovation and rehabilitation of water distribution systems.” Int. J. Environ. Sci. Technol. 7 (1): 47–58. https://doi.org/10.1007/BF03326116.
Tanverakul, S., and J. Lee. 2016. “Decadal review of residential water demand analysis from a practical perspective.” IWA Water Pract. Technol. 11 (2): 433–447. https://doi.org/10.2166/wpt.2016.050.
Toprak, S., E. Nacaroglu, A. Cetin, and A. C. Koc. 2009. “Pipeline damage assessment using cluster analysis.” In Proc., Technical Council on Lifeline Earthquake Engineering Conf. Reston, VA: ASCE. https://doi.org/10.1061/41050(357)78.
USEPA. 2010. Drinking-water infrastructure needs survey: First report to Congress. Rep. No. Washington, DC: USEPA.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice
Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice
Volume 12Issue 1February 2021

History

Received: Feb 26, 2020
Accepted: Jul 27, 2020
Published online: Oct 23, 2020
Published in print: Feb 1, 2021
Discussion open until: Mar 23, 2021

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Diego Martínez García [email protected]
Civil Engineer, City of Palo Alto, 250 Hamilton Ave., Palo Alto, CA 94301. Email: [email protected]
Associate Professor, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Manhattan College, Manhattan College Pkwy., Riverdale, NY 10471 (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-7942-4273. Email: [email protected]
Jonathan Keck, M.ASCE [email protected]
Director of Technical Services, Aquify, Exelon Corporation, 10 South Dearborn St., Chicago, IL 60603. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share