Technical Papers
Jul 16, 2012

Risk-Based Maintenance of a Cross-Country Petroleum Pipeline System

Publication: Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice
Volume 4, Issue 3

Abstract

This paper proposes a data-driven approach in determining an optimal inspection interval for a petroleum pipeline system. The approach accounts for the determination of both the probability of failure and its associated consequences. The probability of failure is estimated by fitting the historical data of failure of the pipeline into either a homogenous Poisson process or nonhomogenous Poisson process (power law). The analysis of historical data reveals the Poissoneous form that gives a better description of the failure process. The consequences of failure are calculated in terms of economic loss, environmental damage, and loss of human life. Both the failure probability and consequences are utilized to estimate the total loss of an operating pipeline system. A risk-based integrity maintenance optimization of the pipeline is achieved by minimizing the economic loss while taking the human risk and maintenance budget as constraints. The proposed framework is utilized in the maintenance planning of a very long cross-country petroleum pipeline system. The outcomes are robust and well validated. The framework can be applied to any engineering system that requires inspection and maintenance planning.

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Published In

Go to Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice
Journal of Pipeline Systems Engineering and Practice
Volume 4Issue 3August 2013
Pages: 141 - 148

History

Received: Sep 2, 2011
Accepted: Jul 13, 2012
Published online: Jul 16, 2012
Discussion open until: Dec 16, 2012
Published in print: Aug 1, 2013

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Authors

Affiliations

Alex W. Dawotola [email protected]
Researcher, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft Univ. of Technology, 2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]
T. B. Trafalis
Professor, Dept. of Industrial Engineering, Univ. of Oklahoma, Norman, OK 73019.
Z. Mustaffa
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Civil Engineering, Universiti Teknologi PETRONAS, Bandar Seri Iskandar, Perak 31750, Malaysia.
P. H. A. J. M. van Gelder
Associate Professor, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft Univ. of Technology, 2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands.
J. K. Vrijling
Professor, Faculty of Civil Engineering and Geosciences, Delft Univ. of Technology, 2600 GA Delft, The Netherlands.

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