Predicting Flood Risk from Interarrivals of Peak Runoff Events
Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 23, Issue 5
Abstract
Forum papers are thought-provoking opinion pieces or essays founded in fact, sometimes containing speculation, on a civil engineering topic of general interest and relevance to the readership of the journal. The views expressed in this Forum article do not necessarily reflect the views of ASCE or the Editorial Board of the journal.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
References
Anderson, M. G. (1976). “Peak flows inter-arrival times.” J. Hydrol., 30(1–2), 105–112.
Benson, D. A., Schumer, R., and Meerschaert, M. M. (2007). “Recurrence of extreme events with power-law inter-arrival times.” Geophys. Res. Lett., 34(16), 1–5.
Ben-Zvi, A. (1991). “Observed advantage for negative binomial over Poisson distribution in partial duration series.” Stochastic Hydrol. Hydraulics, 5(2), 135–146.
Ben-Zvi, A. (1999a). “Distribution of intervals between flood events.” Proc., Int. Conf. on Water, Environment, Ecology, Socio-Economic and Health Engineering, V. P. Singh, et al. eds., Water Resources, Highlands Ranch, CO, 255–261.
Ben-Zvi, A. (1999b). “Distribution of intervals between flood events.” Proc., Int. Conf. on Water Resources into the New Millennium: Past Accomplishments and New Challenges (CD-ROM), Water Resources, Highlands Ranch, CO.
Ben-Zvi, A., and Azmon, B. (2010). “Direct relationships of discharges to the mean and standard deviation of the intervals between their exceedences.” Hydrol. Sci. J., 55(4), 565–577.
Eichner, J. F., Kantelhardt, J. W., Bunde, A., and Havlin, S. (2007). “Statistics of return intervals in long-term correlated records.” Phys. Rev. E, 75(1), 011128.
Eichner, J. F., Koscielny-Bunde, E., Bunde, A., Havlin, S., and Schellnhuber, H.-J. (2003). “Power-law persistence and trends in the atmosphere: A detailed study of long temperature records.” Phys. Rev. E, 68(4), 1–5.
Koscielny-Bunde, E., Kantelhardt, J. W., Braun, P., Bunde, A., and Havlin, S. (2006). “Long-term persistence and multifractality of river runoff records: Detrended fluctuation studies.” J. Hydrol., 322(1–4), 120–137.
Lennartz, L., Livina, V. L., Bunde, A., and Havlin, S. (2008). “Long-term memory in earthquakes and the distribution of interoccurrence times.” Lett. J. Explor. Front. Phys. EPL, 81(6), 69001.
Lye, L. M., and Lin, Y. (1994). “Long-term dependence in annual peak flows of Canadian rivers.” J. Hydrol., 160(1–4), 89–103.
Malamud, B. D., and Turcotte, D. L. (2006). “The applicability of power-law frequency statistics to floods.” J. Hydrol., 322(1–4), 168–180.
Serinaldi, F., and Kilsby, C. G. (2016). “Understanding persistence to avoid underestimation of collective flood risk.” Water, 8(4), 152.
Stoynov, P., Zlateva, P., and Velev, D. (2015). “An approach for modeling inter-arrival time of floods.” Int. J. Innov. Manage. Technol., 6(4), 267–271.
Stoynov, P., Zlateva, P., Velev, D., and Zong, X. (2017). “Modelling of major flood arrivals on Chinese rivers by switch-time processes.” Proc., 3rd Int. Conf. on Advance Environment Research, IOP Publishing, Bristol, U.K.
Todhunter, P. E. (2012). “Uncertainty of the assumptions required for estimating the regulatory flood: Red River of the North.” J. Hydrol. Eng., 1011–1020.
Turcotte, D. L., and Green, L. (1993). “A scale-invariant approach to flood frequency analysis.” Stochastic. Hydrol. Hydraulics, 7(1), 33–40.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
©2018 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Oct 28, 2017
Accepted: Nov 14, 2017
Published online: Mar 13, 2018
Published in print: May 1, 2018
Discussion open until: Aug 13, 2018
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.