Technical Papers
Feb 19, 2018

Ensemble Modeling of the Theis Equation under Uncertain Parameter Conditions

Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 23, Issue 5

Abstract

The Fokker-Planck equation (FPE) methodology was applied to the transient state confined groundwater flow equation under the initial and boundary conditions leading to the Theis problem. The differential Theis equation was transformed to the FPE form, which describes the evolution of the probability density function of the state variable for this system. Numerical solutions of the FPE were obtained with a hybrid numerical scheme that uses the explicit Lax-Wendroff scheme with a flux limiter for the advective terms and the implicit Euler scheme for the dispersive terms. The results of the FPE methodology were compared with the Monte-Carlo solutions of the analytical Theis solution. The comparison shows a good match in terms of the ensemble mean, variance, and probability density functions in general. The computation times also were improved in the FPE methodology in comparison with the method of Monte-Carlo simulations.

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Go to Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 23Issue 5May 2018

History

Received: May 12, 2017
Accepted: Oct 3, 2017
Published online: Feb 19, 2018
Published in print: May 1, 2018
Discussion open until: Jul 19, 2018

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Authors

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Postdoctoral Researcher, Hydrologic Research Laboratory, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of California, Davis, CA 95616 (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-7462-6469. E-mail: [email protected]
M. Levent Kavvas, F.ASCE
Professor, Hydrologic Research Laboratory and J. Amorocho Hydraulics Laboratory, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of California, Davis, CA 95616.

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