Quantity and Quality Integrated Catchment Modeling under Climate Change with use of Soil and Water Assessment Tool Model
Publication: Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 7, Issue 3
Abstract
This paper focuses on the regional impact of climate change on several critical water quantity and quality issues. The study area is the Ali Efenti Basin in central Greece. The soil and water assessment tool daily step conceptual model has been applied to simulate the water cycle and the nitrogen transport within the catchment. The outputs of six general circulation models have been used to perturb the time series of precipitation and temperature. For all of the scenarios a decrease in streamflow is observed and there is an increase in the magnitude of floods for certain return periods. Changes in surface water runoff influence nitrogen losses, resulting in an annual reduction of the nitrogen flux to the water body.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
References
Arnell, N. W.(1998). “The effect of climate change on hydrological regimes in Europe: A continental perspective.” Global Environ. Change, 9, 5–23.
Arnold, J. G., Muttiah, R. S., Srinivasan, R., and Allen, P. M.(2000). “Regional estimation of base flow and groundwater recharge in the Upper Mississippi River basin.” J. Hydrol., 227, 21–40.
Arnold, J. G., Williams, J. R., Srinisavan, R., and King, K. W. (1994). “SWAT: Soil and water assessment tool.” U.S. Dept. of Agriculture, Agricultural Research Service, Temple, Tex.
Cullen, M. J. P.(1993). “The unified forecast/climate model.” Meteorol. Mag., 122, 81–95.
Danalatos, N. G. (1992). “Quantified analysis of selected land use systems in the Larissa region, Greece.” Doctoral thesis, Agricultural Univ., Wageningen, Greece.
Ferrier, R. C., Whitehead, P. G., Sefton, C., Edwards, A. C., and Pugh, K.(1995). “Modelling impacts of land use change and climate change on nitrate-nitrogen in the River Don, North East Scotland.” Water Res., 29, 1950–1956.
Flato, G. M., et al. (1999). “The Canadian Centre for Climate Modelling and Analysis global coupled model and its climate.” Clim. Dyn., in press.
Hirst, A. C., Gordon, H. B., and O’Farrell, S. P.(1996). “Global warming in a coupled climate model including oceanic eddy-induced advection.” Geophys. Res. Lett., 23, 3361–3364.
Hirst, A. C., O’Farrell, S. P., and Gordon, H. B. (1999). “Comparison of a coupled ocean-atmosphere model with and without oceanic eddy-induced advection. 1. Ocean spinup and control integrations.” J. Clim., in press.
Hulme, M., Barrow, E., Arnell, N., Harrison, P., Johns, T., and Downing, T.(1999). “Relative impacts of human-induced climate change and natural climate variability.” Nature (London), 397, 688–691.
Johns, T. C.et al. (1997). “The Second Hadley Centre coupled ocean-atmosphere GCM: Model description, spinup and validation.” Clim. Dyn., 13, 103–134.
Knox, J. C.(1993). “Large increases in flood magnitude in response to modest changes in climate.” Nature (London), 361, 423–425.
Krysanova, V., Müller-Wohlfeil, D. I., and Becker, A.(1998). “Development and test of a spatial distributed hydrological/water quality model for mesoscale watersheds.” Ecologic. Model., 106, 261–289.
Mander, Ü., Kull, A., Kuusemets, V., and Tamm, T.(2000). “Nutrient runoff dynamics in a rural catchment: Influence of land-use changes, climatic fluctuations and ecotechnological measures.” Ecological Eng., 14, 405–417.
Mander, Ü., Kull, A., Tamm, V., Kuusemets, V., and Karjus, R.(1998). “Impact of climatic fluctuations and land use change on runoff and nutrient losses in rural landscapes.” Landscape Urban Plan., 41, 229–238.
Mimikou, M. A. (1995). “Climate change.” Environmental hydrology, V. P. Singh, ed., Kluwer Academic, Boston, 69–106.
Mimikou, M. A., Baltas, E., Varanou, E., and Pantazis, K. (1999a). “Impacts of climate change on the water resources quantity and quality.” Proc., Int. Conf. on Water, Environment, Ecology, Socio-economics, and Health Engineering.
Mimikou, M. A., Baltas, E., Varanou, E., and Pantazis, K. (2000). “Regional impacts of climate change on water resources quantity and quality indicators.” J. Hydrol., in press.
Mimikou, M. A., Hadjissava, P., Kouvopoulos, Y., and Afrateos, H.(1991b). “Regional climate change impacts. II. Impacts on water management works.” Hydrol. Sci. J., 36, 259–270.
Mimikou, M. A., Kanellopoulou, S., and Baltas, E.(1999b). “Human implication of changes in the hydrological regime due to climate change in Northern Greece.” Global Environ. Change, 9, 139–156.
Mimikou, M., and Kouvopoulos, Y.(1991). “Regional climate change impacts. I. Impacts on water resources.” Hydro. Sci. J., 36, 247–258.
Mimikou, M., Kouvopoulos, Y., Cavvadias, G., and Vayiannos, N.(1991a). “Regional hydrological effects of climate change.” J. Hydrol., 123, 119–146.
Ministry of the Environment, Physical Planning and Public Works. (1998). “Long-term water quality data of Pinios River, period 1988–1998: Raw data.” (in Greek).
Nash, J. E., and Sutcliffe, J. V.(1970). “River flow forecasting through conceptional models. I. A discussion of principles.” J. Hydrol., 10, 282–290.
National Statistical Service of Greece. (1997). “Agricultural statistics of Greece.”
Neitsch, S. L., Arnold, J. G., and Williams, J. R. (1999). Soil and water assessment tool: User’s manual—Version 98.1, Agricultural Research Service, Temple, Tex.
Pielke, R. A., and Downton, M. W. (2000). “Precipitation and damaging floods: Trends in the United States, 1932–1997.” J. Clim., in press.
Roeckner, E., et al. (1996). “The atmospheric general circulation model ECHAM-4: Model description and simulation of present-day cli-mate.” Rep. No. 218, Max-Planck Institute for Meteorology, Hamburg, Germany.
Skop, E., and Sørensen, P. B.(1998). “GIS-based modelling of solute fluxes at the catchment scale: A case study of the agricultural contribution to the riverine nitrogen loading in the Vejle Fjord catchment, Denmark.” Ecologic. Model., 106, 291–310.
Univ. of Patras. (1999). “Vulnerable zones of Greece due to nitrate pollution resulting from agricultural activities (in application of the Directive 91/6767/EEC).” Final Rep., Prepared for Ministry of the Environment, Physical Planning and Public Works, Dept. of Geology, Hydrogeology Laboratory, Patras, Greece.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Hydrologic Engineering
Volume 7 • Issue 3 • May 2002
Pages: 228 - 244
Copyright
Copyright © 2002 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Aug 8, 2000
Accepted: Oct 4, 2001
Published online: Apr 15, 2002
Published in print: May 2002
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.