Is the Sequential Travel Forecasting Paradigm Counterproductive?
Publication: Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 128, Issue 4
Abstract
The sequential travel forecasting procedure is widely accepted without question by transportation planners, yet its origins are obscure, its effects on practice and research may well be negative, and by focusing attention on individual steps, it tends to impede overall progress in improving forecasting methods. Alternatives to the sequential procedure proposed by researchers over the past 30 years are examined, and recent advances are presented. A call for a new travel forecasting paradigm concludes the paper.
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Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 128 • Issue 4 • December 2002
Pages: 169 - 183
Copyright
Copyright © 2002 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Feb 19, 2002
Accepted: Jun 4, 2002
Published online: Nov 15, 2002
Published in print: Dec 2002
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