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May 1, 2007

Decision Analysis Applied to Tunnel Exploration Planning. I: Principles and Case Study

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Publication: Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 133, Issue 5

Abstract

Exploration planning is a process of decision making under uncertainty. This paper, Part I of two dealing with the exploration problem, briefly reviews the decision analytical procedure for tunnel exploration, and provides practical techniques to do so. Specifically, this paper presents an approach by which the effect of additional exploration can be assessed before actually committing to exploration, through a process of so-called virtual exploration. This is practically done with an easy-to-use software package developed in Visual Basic for Applications in Microsoft Excel, called the Decision Aids for Tunnel Exploration. Part II will describe the uncertainties that enter into the tunnel exploration decision procedure, and will provide practical techniques to asses the effects of these uncertainties on the exploration decision making.

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Acknowledgments

The writers would like to acknowledge that the data for the Sucheon Tunnel were made available by the Korean Railroad Institute (KRRI) and SK Engineering & Construction. In particular, the help of Dr. J.-S. Lee in this regard was instrumental. The authors would also like to thank the anonymous ASCE reviewers for their many useful comments and suggestions which led to a significant improvement of the paper.

References

Einstein, H. H., Labreche, D. A., Markow, M. J., and Baecher, G. B. (1978). “Decision analysis applied to rock tunnel exploration.” Eng. Geol. (Amsterdam), 12, 143–161.
Einstein, H. H., Salazar, G. F., Kim, Y. W., and Ioannou, P. G. (1987). “Computer based decision support systems for underground construction.” Proc., Rapid Excavation and Tunneling Conf., 2, 1287–1308.
Karam, J. S. (2005). “Decision aids for tunnel exploration.” MS thesis, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, Mass.
Keeney, R., and Raiffa, H. (1976). Decisions with multiple objectives: Preferences and value tradeoffs, Wiley, New York.
Min, S. Y., Einstein, H. H., Lee, J. S., and Kim, T. K. (2003). “Application of decision aids for tunneling (DAT) to a drill & blast tunnel.” J. Civil Eng., KSCE, 7(5), 619–628.
Raiffa, H., and Schlaifer, R. L. (1964). Applied statistical decision theory, Harvard Business School, Cambridge, Mass.
Stael von Holstein, C. A. S. (1974). “A tutorial in decision analysis.” Readings in decision analysis, R. A. Howard, J. E. Matheson, and K. L. Miller, eds., Stanford Research Institute, Menlo Park, Calif.

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Go to Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Journal of Construction Engineering and Management
Volume 133Issue 5May 2007
Pages: 344 - 353

History

Received: Jan 4, 2006
Accepted: Oct 19, 2006
Published online: May 1, 2007
Published in print: May 2007

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Authors

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Karim S. Karam
Former Research Assistant, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139.
Jad S. Karam
Former Research Assistant, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Cambridge, MA 02139.
Herbert H. Einstein
Professor of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Massachusetts Institute of Technology, Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Cambridge, MA 02139 (corresponding author). E-mail: [email protected]

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