Case Studies
Aug 17, 2023

Comparing GIS-Based Flood Resilience Models in a Developing Nation: A Case Study in Bangladesh

Publication: Natural Hazards Review
Volume 24, Issue 4

Abstract

Floods have a devastating impact on developing nations. The focus of current resilience models is predominantly developed countries, and less is known regarding how they might perform in other contexts. This paper presents a comparative case study in Bangladesh using two established hazard resilience models: the Disaster Resilience of Place (DROP) Model and the Spatially Explicit Resilience-Vulnerability (SERV) model. Using publicly available data, we applied the two models at the district level in the context of flooding, the most extensive hazard in Bangladesh. The results of our model implementations were evaluated by Bangladeshi emergency managers and researchers regarding their potential utility. Whereas emergency managers preferred the SERV model results, researchers thought the DROP model results were preferable. This suggests an opportunity to create a model that would serve the flood resilience needs of managers and researchers.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Data Availability Statement

Some or all data, models, or code generated or used during the study are proprietary or confidential in nature and may only be provided with restrictions. The key-informant interviews were conducted keeping their identity confidential. Thereby, the identity of the participants cannot be disclosed. But their opinions have been quoted in a table in this article. The census database used in this research and the R script generated during the study to estimate the resilience scores and generate the maps can be provided upon request.

References

Adger, W. N. 2000. “Social and ecological resilience: Are they related?” Prog. Hum. Geogr. 24 (3): 347–364. https://doi.org/10.1191/030913200701540465.
Ahmed, B., I. Kelman, H. K. Fehr, and M. Saha. 2016. “Community resilience to cyclone disasters in coastal Bangladesh.” Sustainability 8 (8): 805. https://doi.org/10.3390/su8080805.
Aksha, S. K., and C. T. Emrich. 2020. “Benchmarking community disaster resilience in Nepal.” Int. J. Environ. Res. Public Health 17 (6): 1985. https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph17061985.
Akter, S., and B. Mallick. 2013. “The poverty–vulnerability–resilience nexus: Evidence from Bangladesh.” Ecol. Econ. 96 (Nov): 114–124. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecolecon.2013.10.008.
Auf der Heide, E., and J. Scanlon. 2007. “Health and medical preparedness and response.” In Emergency management: Principles and practice for local government, edited by W. L. Waugh and K. Tierney, 183–206. Washington, DC: International City Managers Association.
Bangladesh Water Development Board. 2018. Annual report 2017-18. Dhaka, Bangladesh: Bangladesh Water Development Board.
BARC (Bangladesh Agricultural Research Council). 2010. Agricultural statistics of Bangladesh 2010. Dhaka, Bangladesh: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics.
BARC (Bangladesh Agricultural Research Council). 2018. Agricultural statistics of Bangladesh 2017. Dhaka, Bangladesh: Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics.
BBS (Bangladesh Bureau of Statistics). 2011. Bangladesh household income and expenditure survey 2010. Dhaka, Bangladesh: BBS.
Beccari, B. 2016. “A comparative analysis of disaster risk, vulnerability and resilience composite indicators.” PLoS Curr. 8 (Mar). https://doi.org/10.1371/currents.dis.453df025e34b682e9737f95070f9b970.
Berke, P. R., and T. J. Campanella. 2006. “Planning for postdisaster resiliency.” Ann. Am. Acad. Political Social Sci. 604 (1): 192–207. https://doi.org/10.1177/0002716205285533.
Burby, R. J., R. E. Deyle, D. R. Godschalk, and R. B. Olshansky. 2000. “Creating hazard resilient communities through land-use planning.” Nat. Hazard. Rev. 1 (2): 99–106. https://doi.org/10.1061/(ASCE)1527-6988(2000)1:2(99).
Cains, M. G., and D. Henshel. 2019. “Community as an equal partner for region-based climate change vulnerability, risk, and resilience assessments.” Curr. Opin. Environ. Sustainability 39 (Aug): 24–30. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cosust.2019.06.005.
Çelikli, S. 2010. Ege Üniversitesi Tıp Fakültesi Hastanesi Afet Yönetimi Ekibine Olağandışı Durumlara Hazırlıklı Olma Konusunda Verilen Eğitimin Değerlendirilmesi ve Uygulamanın Sınanması. İzmir, Turkey: Ege Üniversitesi, Sağlık Bilimleri Enstitüsü.
Colten, C. E., R. W. Kates, and S. B. Laska. 2008. Community resilience: Lessons from New Orleans and hurricane Katrina. Oak Ridge, TN: Community and Regional Resilience Initiative.
Cook, A. D. B., and F. Y. Ne. 2018. Complex humanitarian emergencies and disaster management in Bangladesh: The 2017 Rohingya exodus. Singapore: NTS Center.
Crosetto, M., and S. Tarantola. 2001. “Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis: Tools for GIS-based model implementation.” Int. J. Geogr. Inf. Sci. 15 (5): 415–437. https://doi.org/10.1080/13658810110053125.
Cutter, S. L., L. Barnes, M. Berry, C. Burton, E. Evans, E. Tate, and J. Webb. 2008. “A place-based model for understanding community resilience to natural disasters.” Global Environ. Change 18 (4): 598–606. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.07.013.
Cutter, S. L., B. J. Boruff, and W. L. Shirley. 2003. “Social vulnerability to environmental hazards.” Social Sci. Q. 84 (2): 242–261. https://doi.org/10.1111/1540-6237.8402002.
Cutter, S. L., C. G. Burton, and C. T. Emrich. 2010. “Disaster resilience indicators for benchmarking baseline conditions.” J. Homeland Secur. Emerg. Manage. 7 (1). https://doi.org/10.2202/1547-7355.1732.
de Sherbinin, A., et al. 2019. “Climate vulnerability mapping: A systematic review and future prospects.” Wiley Interdiscip. Rev. Clim. Change 10 (5): e600. https://doi.org/10.1002/wcc.600.
di Nardo, E., G. Guarino, and D. Senato. 2008. “Symbolic computation of moments of sampling distributions.” Comput. Stat. Data Anal. 52 (11): 4909–4922. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.csda.2008.04.017.
Dworkin, S. L. 2012. “Sample size policy for qualitative studies using in-depth interviews.” In Vol. 41 of Archives of sexual behavior, 1319–1320. New York: Springer.
Feofilovs, M., F. Romagnoli, C. K. Gotangco, J. C. Josol, J. M. P. Jardeleza, J. E. Litam, J. I. Campos, and K. Abenojar. 2020. “Assessing resilience against floods with a system dynamics approach: A comparative study of two models.” Int. J. Disaster Resilience Built Environ. 11 (5): 615–629. https://doi.org/10.1108/IJDRBE-02-2020-0013.
Frazier, T. G., C. M. Thompson, and R. J. Dezzani. 2013. “Development of a spatially explicit vulnerability-resilience model for community level hazard mitigation enhancement.” In Disaster management and human health risk III, edited by C. A. Brebbia, 13–24. Moscow: Univ. of Idaho.
Frazier, T. G., C. M. Thompson, and R. J. Dezzani. 2014. “A framework for the development of the SERV model: A spatially explicit resilience-vulnerability model.” Appl. Geogr. 51 (Jul): 158–172. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apgeog.2014.04.004.
Gall, M. 2007. “Indices of social vulnerability to natural hazards: A comparative evaluation.” Doctoral dissertation, Dept. of Geography, Univ. of South Carolina.
Getis, A. 2007. “Reflections on spatial autocorrelation.” Reg. Sci. Urban Econ. 37 (4): 491–496. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.regsciurbeco.2007.04.005.
Godschalk, D. R. 2007. “Functions and phases of emergency management.” In Emergency management: Principles and practice for local government, 87–112. Washington, DC: International City Management Association.
Guha-Sapir, R., R. Below, and P. H. Hoyois. 2022. EM-DAT: The CRED/OFDA international disaster database. Brussels, Belgium: Université Catholique de Louvain.
Gupta, S., A. Javed, and D. Datt. 2003. “Economics of flood protection in India.” In Flood problem and management in South Asia, 199–210. New York: Springer.
Hallegatte, S., C. Green, R. J. Nicholls, and J. Corfee-Morlot. 2013. “Future flood losses in major coastal cities.” Nat. Clim. Change 3 (9): 802–806. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate1979.
Hawkins, R. L., K. Maurer, and R. Fellow. 2011. “‘You fix my community, you have fixed my life’: The disruption and rebuilding of ontological security in New Orleans.” Disasters 35 (1): 143–159. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1467-7717.2010.01197.x.
Heinz Center. 2002. The state of the nation’s ecosystems: Measuring the lands, waters, and living resources of the United States. Washington, DC: H. John Heinz III Center for Science, Economics, and the Environment.
Holling, C. S. 1973. “Resilience and stability of ecological systems.” Annu. Rev. Ecol. Syst. 4 (1): 1–23. https://doi.org/10.1146/annurev.es.04.110173.000245.
Humanitarian Data Exchange. 2021. Facing hazards and disasters: Understanding human dimensions. New York: Office for the Coordination of Humanitarian Affairs.
Joerin, J., R. Shaw, Y. Takeuchi, and R. Krishnamurthy. 2012. “Assessing community resilience to climate-related disasters in Chennai, India.” Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 1 (Oct): 44–54. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2012.05.006.
Jongman, B., S. Hochrainer-Stigler, L. Feyen, J. C. J. H. Aerts, R. Mechler, W. J. W. Botzen, L. M. Bouwer, G. Pflug, R. Rojas, and P. J. Ward. 2014. “Increasing stress on disaster-risk finance due to large floods.” Nat. Clim. Change. 4 (4): 264–268. https://doi.org/10.1038/nclimate2124.
Kamal, A.-H. M., U. Umama, S. Roman, and M. M. Khan. 2018. “Impact of flood on women’s sexual and reproductive health: An empirical evidence from northern Bangladesh.” Global J. Med Res. 18 (5): 56–64.
Karim, M. F., and N. Mimura. 2008. “Impacts of climate change and sea-level rise on cyclonic storm surge floods in Bangladesh.” Global Environ. Change 18 (3): 490–500. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2008.05.002.
Kāunsila, B. K. G. 2019. Annual report—Bangladesh agricultural research council. Dhaka, Bangladesh: Bangladesh Agricultural Research Council.
Matyas, D., and M. Pelling. 2015. “Positioning resilience for 2015: The role of resistance, incremental adjustment and transformation in disaster risk management policy.” Supplement, Disasters 39 (S1): s1–s18. https://doi.org/10.1111/disa.12107.
Mileti, D. 1999. Disasters by design: A reassessment of natural hazards in the United States. Washington, DC: Joseph Henry Press.
Ministry of Agriculture. 2018. Bangladesh agriculture and regional report 2018. Dhaka, Bangladesh: Ministry of Agriculture.
Morrow, B. H. 2008. Community resilience: A social justice perspective. Oak Ridge, TN: Community and Regional Resilience Institute Research.
Muellmann, S., T. Brand, D. Jürgens, D. Gansefort, and H. Zeeb. 2021. “How many key informants are enough? Analysing the validity of the community readiness assessment.” BMC Res. Notes 14 (1): 1–6. https://doi.org/10.1186/s13104-021-05497-9.
Murphy, B. L. 2007. “Locating social capital in resilient community-level emergency management.” Nat. Hazards 41 (Jan): 297–315.
Norris, F. H., S. P. Stevens, B. Pfefferbaum, K. F. Wyche, and R. L. Pfefferbaum. 2008. “Community resilience as a metaphor, theory, set of capacities, and strategy for disaster readiness.” Am. J. Commun. Psychol. 41 (1–2): 127–150. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10464-007-9156-6.
NRC (National Research Council). 2006. Facing hazards and disasters: Understanding human dimensions. Dhaka, Bangladesh: National Academy Press.
Parvin, G. A., A. C. Shimi, R. Shaw, and C. Biswas. 2016. “Flood in a changing climate: The impact on livelihood and how the rural poor cope in Bangladesh.” Climate 4 (4): 60. https://doi.org/10.3390/cli4040060.
Ronan, K. R., and D. M. Johnston. 2005. Vol. 387238204 of Promoting community resilience in disasters: The role for schools, youth, and families. New York: Springer.
Roy, P., S. C. Pal, A. Arabameri, F. Rezaie, R. Chakrabortty, I. Chowdhuri, A. Saha, S. Malik, and B. Das. 2021. “Climate and land use change induced future flood susceptibility assessment in a sub-tropical region of India.” Soft Comput. 25 (8): 5925–5949. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00500-021-05584-w.
Rufat, S., E. Tate, C. G. Burton, and A. S. Maroof. 2015. “Social vulnerability to floods: Review of case studies and implications for measurement.” Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 14 (Dec): 470–486. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2015.09.013.
Scherzer, S., P. Lujala, and J. K. Rød. 2019. “A community resilience index for Norway: An adaptation of the baseline resilience indicators for communities (BRIC).” Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 36 (May): 101107. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2019.101107.
Schipper, E. L. F., and L. Langston. 2015. “A comparative overview of resilience measurement frameworks.” In Analyzing indicators and approaches, 422. London: Overseas Development Institute.
Serre, D. 2018. “DS3 model testing: Assessing critical infrastructure network flood resilience at the neighbourhood scale.” In Urban disaster resilience and security, 207–220. New York: Springer.
Shaw, R., F. Mallick, and A. Islam. 2013. Vol. 103 of Disaster risk reduction approaches in Bangladesh. New York: Springer.
Smith, L. C., and T. R. Frankenberger. 2018. “Does resilience capacity reduce the negative impact of shocks on household food security? Evidence from the 2014 floods in Northern Bangladesh.” World Dev. 102 (Feb): 358–376. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.worlddev.2017.07.003.
Sylves, R. 2007. “Budgeting for local emergency management and homeland security.” In Emergency management: Principles and practice for local government. Washington, DC: International City Manager Association.
Tierney, K. 2009. Disaster response: Research findings and their implications for resilience measures. Oak Ridge, TN: Community and Regional Resilience Institute.
Tierney, K. J., M. K. Lindell, and R. W. Perry. 2002. “Facing the unexpected: Disaster preparedness and response in the United States.” Disaster Prev. Manage. 11 (3): 222. https://doi.org/10.1108/dpm.2002.11.3.222.1.
Vale, L. J. 2005. The resilient city: How modern cities recover from disaster. New York: Oxford University Press.
Van Kleef, G. A., C. K. W. De Dreu, and A. S. R. Manstead. 2010. “An interpersonal approach to emotion in social decision making: The emotions as social information model.” Adv. Exp. Social Psychol. 42 (4): 5–94. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0065-2601(10)42002-X.
Walker, B. H., N. Abel, J. M. Anderies, and P. Ryan. 2009. “Resilience, adaptability, and transformability in the Goulburn-Broken Catchment, Australia.” Ecol. Soc. 14 (1): 24. https://doi.org/10.5751/ES-02824-140112.
Wang, W., S. Yang, J. Gao, F. Hu, W. Zhao, and H. E. Stanley. 2020. “An integrated approach for assessing the impact of large-scale future floods on a highway transport system.” Risk Anal. 40 (9): 1780–1794. https://doi.org/10.1111/risa.13507.
Wong, T. H., and R. R. Brown. 2009. “The water sensitive city: Principles for practice.” Water Sci. Technol. 60 (3): 673–682.
Yanilmaz, S., D. Baskak, M. Yucesan, and M. Gul. 2021. “Extension of FEMA and SMUG models with Bayesian best-worst method for disaster risk reduction.” Int. J. Disaster Risk Reduct. 66 (Dec): 102631. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ijdrr.2021.102631.
Yin, H., and C. Li. 2001. “Human impact on floods and flood disasters on the Yangtze River.” Geomorphology 41 (2–3): 105–109. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-555X(01)00108-8.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Natural Hazards Review
Natural Hazards Review
Volume 24Issue 4November 2023

History

Received: Oct 14, 2022
Accepted: Jun 12, 2023
Published online: Aug 17, 2023
Published in print: Nov 1, 2023
Discussion open until: Jan 17, 2024

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

ASCE Technical Topics:

Authors

Affiliations

Ahmad M. Riyadh [email protected]
Professor, Center for Natural and Technological Hazards, Dept. of Geography, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112 (corresponding author). Email: [email protected]
Thomas J. Cova [email protected]
Professor, Center for Natural and Technological Hazards, Dept. of Geography, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112. Email: [email protected]
Timothy W. Collins [email protected]
Professor, Center for Natural and Technological Hazards, Dept. of Geography, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112. Email: [email protected]
Professor, Center for Natural and Technological Hazards, Dept. of Geography, Univ. of Utah, Salt Lake City, UT 84112. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6808-6432. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share