Real-Time Movement-Based Traffic Volume Prediction at Signalized Intersections
Publication: Journal of Transportation Engineering, Part A: Systems
Volume 146, Issue 8
Abstract
The traffic volume of each movement at signalized intersections can provide valuable information on real-time traffic conditions that enable traffic control systems to dynamically respond to the fluctuated traffic demands. Real-time movement-based traffic volume prediction is challenging due to various nonlinear spatial relationships at different locations/approaches and the complicated underlying temporal dependencies. In this study, a novel deep intersection spatial-temporal network (DISTN) is developed for real-time movement-based traffic volume prediction at signalized intersections, which considers both spatial and temporal features by the convolutional neural network (CNN) and long short-term memory (LSTM), respectively. In addition, the within-day, daily, and weekly periodic trends of traffic volume are also considered in the proposed model. This is the first time that a deep-learning method has been applied for movement-based traffic volume prediction at signalized intersections. In the numerical experiment, the proposed model is evaluated using real-world data and simulation data to demonstrate its effectiveness. The impacts of various structures of traffic networks on the proposed model are also discussed. Results show that the proposed model outperforms some of the state-of-the-art volume prediction methods currently in the literature.
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Data Availability Statement
Some or all data, models, or code used during the study were provided by a third party (Loop detector data in Jinan, China). Direct requests for these materials may be made to the provider as indicated in the Acknowledgements.
Some or all data, models, or code generated or used during the study are available in a repository online in accordance with funder data retention policies (Li, W., Ban, X., Zheng, J., Liu, H., Gong, C. 2018. Traffic volume simulation data. https://drive.google.com/drive/u/1/folders/14uXbW9d1RlZlWa6SYiX_CtLewr8AVe7X).
Some or all data, models, or code generated or used during the study are available from the corresponding author by request (DISTN code).
Acknowledgments
This research was partially supported by a research grant from DiDi Chuxing to the University of Washington. The results and opinions in the paper are the authors’, which do not necessarily reflect those of the sponsor.
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Received: Apr 22, 2019
Accepted: Feb 11, 2020
Published online: Jun 10, 2020
Published in print: Aug 1, 2020
Discussion open until: Nov 10, 2020
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