Abstract

Recent amendments to design ground snow load requirements in current US standards have reduced the size of case-study regions by 91% from what they were in previous standards, primarily in western states. This reduction is made possible through the development of highly accurate regional generalized additive models (RGAMs), stitched together with a novel smoothing scheme implemented in the R software package remap, to produce the continental-scale maps of reliability-targeted design ground snow loads available in current standards. This approach allows for better characterizations of the changing relationship between temperature, elevation, and ground snow loads across the conterminous US (CONUS). RGAMs are shown to have 10% or better improvement in mean absolute mapping error in two independently created data sets when compared with traditional mapping techniques.

Practical Applications

Structures must be able to withstand environmental stresses without collapsing, including snow. Design ground snow loads are estimated using snow measurements taken at weather stations throughout the US. Mapping techniques allow design ground snow loads to be estimated at regions between weather stations. This paper describes a regional approach for mapping design ground snow loads in CONUS and demonstrates the improved accuracy of the approach, relative to previous methods, on two independently created national data sets.

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Data Availability Statement

Some or all data, models, or code generated or used during the study are available in a repository online in accordance with funder data retention policies. Mapped RTSLs are available at https://asce7hazardtool.online/. Site-specific RC II RTSLs and reproduction data and code for Table 1 are available from Wagstaff et al. (2023). Climate data are available from PRISM Climate Group (2014). The remap smoothing framework is also freely available on the Comprehensive R Archive Network (CRAN) Wagstaff and Bean (2023) as well as GitHub (https://github.com/jadonwagstaff/remap).

Acknowledgments

This research was made possible through funding led by ASCE and the Structural Engineering Institute in collaboration with funding from several organizations. The groups that provided significant monetary support to this effort were (in alphabetical order): Factory Mutual, Metal Building Manufacturer’s Association, National Council of Structural Engineering Associations, Nucor, Simpson Gumpertz and Heger, the State of Montana, the Steel Deck Institute, the Steel Joist Institute, Structural Engineers Association of Montana, Wiss Janney, and Elstner Associates. Further help from the Snow and Rain Load Subcommittee and the steering committee overseeing this research went above and beyond expectations. Many long hours were spent exchanging expertise on national and local concerns resulting in the work contained in this paper and the forthcoming updates to the ASCE 7 Chapter 7 specifications. Thanks to Abbie Liel and Scott Russell for chairing the task group and steering committee overseeing this work. Special thanks to Jim Harris, Mike O’Rourke, Jim Buska, David Thompson, and Jerry Stephens for their boundless time, effort, knowledge, experience, and aid. Additionally, committee members John Duntemann, Richard Nielson, Jared DeBock, Johnn Judd, Hossein Mostafaei, John Corless, John-Paul Cardin, Sean Homem, Gary Ehrlich, Sterling Strait, Vince Sagan, and Thomas DiBlasi all provided time, expertise, local knowledge, review, and support to this work. Graduate student Salam Al-Rubaye at the University of Nebraska-Lincoln was instrumental in the development of the site-specific reliability-targeted snow loads. Undergraduates Miranda Rogers and Scout Jarman were also very helpful and provided much needed support in data processing. Lastly, the authors would like to thank the associate editor and two anonymous reviewers for their time and efforts reviewing this manuscript.

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Go to Journal of Structural Engineering
Journal of Structural Engineering
Volume 150Issue 1January 2024

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Received: Jan 18, 2023
Accepted: Aug 17, 2023
Published online: Oct 20, 2023
Published in print: Jan 1, 2024
Discussion open until: Mar 20, 2024

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Biostatistician, Dept. of Oncological Sciences, Huntsman Cancer Institute, 2000 Circle of Hope Dr., Salt Lake City, UT 84112 (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0001-9724-5343. Email: [email protected]
Assistant Professor, Dept. of Mathematics and Statistics, Utah State Univ., 3900 Old Main Hill, Logan, UT 84322. ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-2853-0455. Email: [email protected]
Jesse Wheeler [email protected]
Doctoral Student, Dept. of Statistics, Univ. of Michigan, 1085 S. University Ave., Ann Arbor, MI 48109. Email: [email protected]
Marc Maguire, Ph.D., A.M.ASCE [email protected]
Associate Professor, Durham School of Architectural Engineering and Construction, Univ. of Nebraska–Lincoln, 1110 S. 67th St., Omaha, NE 68182. Email: [email protected]
Yan Sun, Ph.D. [email protected]
Associate Professor, Dept. of Mathematics and Statistics, Utah State Univ., 3900 Old Main Hill, Logan, UT 84322. Email: [email protected]

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