Comparative Study of Data-Driven Models in Motor RUL Estimation
Publication: ASCE-ASME Journal of Risk and Uncertainty in Engineering Systems, Part A: Civil Engineering
Volume 8, Issue 1
Abstract
The extremely complex loading conditions on the clutch of a four-wheeled passenger vehicle frequently results in malfunction of the motor. The latest diagnostic methods for detecting the initiation of device failure have proven to be unreliable. The present research has been carried out to demonstrate the state of health of the motor on the basis of a nonlinear real time estimation approach. In order to fulfil this task, a systematic review was undertaken of the unscented particle filter (UPF) approach to handle the evolved noisy signal with in real time. Research facilitates the modeling of nonlinear behavior of elements via state-space equations embedded with a set of available real time measurements. The remaining useful life (RUL) of the motor (system) as a distribution function is estimated. The study highlights that the state space framework provides better results than the degradation modeling scheme to forecast the RUL of the system.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.
Data Availability Statement
Some of the data, models, or code that support the findings of this study are available from the corresponding author upon reasonable request. The items are listed below:
1.
The feature set used in the study has been obtained using the author’s previous work [Banerjee et al. (2021)].
2.
Table 1 provides the parameter values of the empirical fitting that were used in the process of RUL prediction.
Acknowledgments
The first author expresses his sincere gratitude to Mr. Prasanta Sarkar for granting permission to work in the Advanced Engineering Research Centre of TATA Motors. The authors also extend their sincere thanks to TATA Motors for allowing the first author to make use of their HIL.
References
Abraham, A. K., and T. H. Nguyen. 2018. “Overload protection using artificial intelligence for DC motors.” Int. J. Eng. Trends Technol. 59 (1): 1–6. https://doi.org/10.14445/22315381/IJETT-V59P201.
An, D., J.-H. Choi, and N. H. Kim. 2013. “Prognostics 101: A tutorial for particle filter-based prognostics algorithm using Matlab.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 115 (Jul): 161–169. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2013.02.019.
An, D., J.-H. Choi, and N. H. Kim. 2018. “Prediction of remaining useful life under different conditions using accelerated life testing data.” J. Mech. Sci. Technol. 32 (6): 2497–2507. https://doi.org/10.1007/s12206-018-0507-z.
An, D., N. H. Kim, and J.-H. Choi. 2015. “Practical options for selecting data-driven or physics-based prognostics algorithms with reviews.” Reliab. Eng. Syst. Saf. 133 (Jan): 223–236. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ress.2014.09.014.
Arulampalam, M. S., S. Maskell, N. Gordon, and T. Clapp. 2002. “A tutorial on particle filters for online nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian tracking.” IEEE Trans. Signal Process. 50 (2): 174–188. https://doi.org/10.1109/78.978374.
Banerjee, A., S. K. Gupta, and C. Putcha. 2021. “Degradation data-driven approach for estimation of the remaining useful life of a motor.” ASCE-ASME J. Risk Uncertainty Eng. Syst. Part A: Civ. Eng. 7 (2): 1–11. https://doi.org/10.1061/AJRUA6.0001114.
Barlas, Y. 1996. “Formal aspects of model validity and validation in system dynamics.” Syst. Dyn. Rev. 12 (3): 183–210. https://doi.org/10.1002/(SICI)1099-1727(199623)12:3%3C183::AID-SDR103%3E3.0.CO;2-4.
Breiman, L. 2001. “Statistical modeling: The two cultures (with comments and a rejoinder by the author).” Stat. Sci. 16 (3): 199–215. https://doi.org/10.1214/ss/1009213726.
Celaya, J. R., A. Saxena, S. Saha, and K. F. Goebel. 2011. “Prognostics of power MOSFETs under thermal stress accelerated aging using data-driven and model-based methodologies.” In Proc., Annual Conf. of the Prognostics and Health Management Society 2011, 443–452. Montreal: Prognostics and Health Management Society.
Fasheng, W., and L. Yuejin. 2009. “Improving particle filter with a new sampling strategy.” In Proc., 2009 4th Int. Conf. on Computer Science and Education, IEEE-ICCSE 2009, 408–412. New York: IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICCSE.2009.5228418.
Gao, Y., Y. Wen, and J. Wu. 2020. “A neural network-based joint prognostic model for data fusion and remaining useful life prediction.” IEEE Trans. Neural Networks Learn. Syst. 32 (1): 117–127. https://doi.org/10.1109/TNNLS.2020.2977132.
Gebraeel, N. 2006. “Sensory-updated residual life distributions for components with exponential degradation patterns.” IEEE Trans. Autom. Sci. Eng. 3 (4): 382–393. https://doi.org/10.1109/TASE.2006.876609.
Gebraeel, N. Z., M. A. Lawley, R. Li, and J. K. Ryan. 2005. “Residual-life distributions from component degradation signals: A Bayesian approach.” IIE Trans. 37 (6): 543–557. https://doi.org/10.1080/07408170590929018.
Glielmo, L., L. Iannelli, V. Vacca, and F. Vasca. 2006. “Gearshift control for automated manual transmissions.” IEEE/ASME Trans. Mechatron. 11 (1): 17–26. https://doi.org/10.1109/TMECH.2005.863369.
Grall, A., L. Dieulle, C. Bérenguer, and M. Roussignol. 2002. “Continuous-time predictive-maintenance scheduling for a deteriorating system.” IEEE Trans. Reliab. 51 (2): 141–150. https://doi.org/10.1109/TR.2002.1011518.
Guo, B., X. Wang, Y. Wang, H. Su, and S. Chao. 2019. “Application of support vector regression to predict the remaining useful life of polymerized styrene butadiene rubber of cable insulation.” In Proc., 2019 Prognostics and System Health Management Conf., PHM-Qingdao 2019. New York: IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM-Qingdao46334.2019.8942888.
Guo, L., Y. Peng, D. Liu, and Y. Luo. 2015. “Comparison of resampling algorithms for particle filter based remaining useful life estimation.” In Proc., 2014 Int. Conf. on Prognostics and Health Management, PHM 2014, 1–8. New York: IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ICPHM.2014.7036395.
György, K., A. Kelemen, and L. Dávid. 2014. “Unscented Kalman filters and particle filter methods for nonlinear state estimation.” Procedia Technol. 12 (Jan): 65–74. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.protcy.2013.12.457.
Han, J., Q. Song, and Y. He. 2009. “Adaptive unscented Kalman filter and its applications in nonlinear control.” In Kalman filter recent advances and applications, edited by V. M. Moreno and A. Pigazo, 1–24. London: IntechOpen. https://doi.org/10.5772/6799.
Hidaka, K., T. Suzuki, and K. Kobayashi. 2016. “Improvement of computational efficiency of unscented particle filter by automatically adjusting the number of particles.” J. Rob. Networking Artif. Life 3 (2): 463–466. https://doi.org/10.2991/jrnal.2016.3.2.14.
Hong, W.-C., and P.-F. Pai. 2006. “Predicting engine reliability by support vector machines.” Int. J. Adv. Manuf. Technol. 28 (1): 154–161. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00170-004-2340-z.
Jiao, R., K. Peng, and J. Dong. 2020. “Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion batteries based on conditional variational autoencoders-particle filter.” IEEE Trans. Instrum. Meas. 69 (11): 8831–8843. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIM.2020.2996004.
Jouin, M., R. Gouriveau, D. Hissel, M.-C. Péra, and N. Zerhouni. 2016. “Particle filter-based prognostics: Review, discussion and perspectives.” Mech. Syst. Sig. Process. 72–73 (May): 2–31. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ymssp.2015.11.008.
Kang, R., W. Gong, and Y. Chen. 2020. “Model-driven degradation modeling approaches: Investigation and review.” Chin. J. Aeronaut. 33 (4): 1137–1153. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cja.2019.12.006.
Lei, Y., N. Li, L. Guo, N. Li, T. Yan, and J. Lin. 2018. “Machinery health prognostics: A systematic review from data acquisition to RUL prediction.” Mech. Syst. Sig. Process. 104 (May): 799–834. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ymssp.2017.11.016.
Li, T., M. Bolić, and P. M. Djurić. 2015a. “Resampling methods for particle filtering: Classification, implementation, and strategies.” IEEE Signal Process. Mag. 32 (3): 70–86. https://doi.org/10.1109/MSP.2014.2330626.
Li, T.-C., G. Villarrubia, S.-D. Sun, J. M. Corchado, and J. Bajo. 2015b. “Resampling methods for particle filtering: Identical distribution, a new method, and comparable study.” Front. Inf. Technol. Electron. Eng. 16 (11): 969–984. https://doi.org/10.1631/FITEE.1500199.
Li, X., W. Gao, and J. Zhang. 2020. “A novel hybrid unscented particle filter based on firefly algorithm for tightly-coupled stereo visual-inertial vehicle positioning.” J. Navig. 73 (3): 613–627. https://doi.org/10.1017/S0373463319000845.
López de Calle, K., S. Ferreiro, A. Arnaiz, and B. Sierra. 2019. “Dynamic condition monitoring method based on dimensionality reduction techniques for data-limited industrial environments.” Comput. Ind. 112 (Nov): 103114. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.compind.2019.07.004.
Miao, Q., L. Xie, H. Cui, W. Liang, and M. Pecht. 2013. “Remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery with unscented particle filter technique.” Microelectron. Reliab. 53 (6): 805–810.
Mohanty, A. R. 2014. Machinery condition monitoring: Principles and practices. Boca Raton, FL: CRC Press.
Raihan, D., and S. Chakravorty. 2018. “Particle Gaussian mixture filters—II.” Automatica 98 (Dec): 341–349. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.automatica.2018.07.024.
Razavi, S. A., T. A. Najafabadi, and A. Mahmoodian. 2019. “Remaining useful life estimation using ANFIS algorithm: A data-driven approach for prognostics.” In Proc., 2018 Prognostics and System Health Management Conf., 522–526. New York: IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/PHM-Chongqing.2018.00095.
Saha, S., and F. Gustafsson. 2012. “Particle filtering with dependent noise processes.” IEEE Trans. Signal Process. 60 (9): 4497–4508. https://doi.org/10.1109/TSP.2012.2202653.
Saxena, A., J. Celaya, E. Balaban, K. Goebel, B. Saha, S. Saha, and M. Schwabacher. 2008. “Metrics for evaluating performance of prognostic techniques.” In Proc., Int. Conf. on Prognostics and Health Management, 1–17. New York: IEEE.
Shariati, H., H. Moosavi, and M. Danesh. 2019. “Application of particle filter combined with extended Kalman filter in model identification of an autonomous underwater vehicle based on experimental data.” Appl. Ocean Res. 82 (Jan): 32–40. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.apor.2018.10.015.
Suh, J. H., S. R. T. Kumara, and S. P. Mysore. 1999. “Machinery fault diagnosis and prognosis: Application of advanced signal processing techniques.” CIRP Ann. Manuf. Technol. 48 (1): 317–320. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0007-8506(07)63192-8.
Tse, Y. L., M. E. Cholette, and P. W. Tse. 2019. “A multi-sensor approach to remaining useful life estimation for a slurry pump.” Measurement 139 (Jun): 140–151. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.measurement.2019.02.079.
Van Der Merwe, R., A. Doucet, N. De Freitas, and E. Wan. 2001. “The unscented particle filter.” In Advances in neural information processing systems, 563–569. Cambridge, MA: MIT Press. https://doi.org/10.5555/3008751.3008833.
Wan, E. A., and R. van der Merwe. 2000. “The unscented Kalman filter for nonlinear estimation.” In Proc., IEEE 2000 Adaptive Systems for Signal Processing, Communications, and Control Symposium, 153–158. New York: IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/ASSPCC.2000.882463.
Wang, Z., X. Zhao, Z. Wang, and X. Qian. 2012. “Unscented particle filter with systematic resampling localization algorithm based on RSS for mobile wireless sensor networks.” In Proc., 2012 8th Int. Conf. on Mobile Ad-Hoc and Sensor Networks, MSN 2012, 169–176. New York: IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/MSN.2012.22.
Wei, W., S. Gao, Y. Zhong, C. Gu, and G. Hu. 2018. “Adaptive square-root unscented particle filtering algorithm for dynamic navigation.” Sensors 18 (7): 2337. https://doi.org/10.3390/s18072337.
Wen, J., H. Gao, and J. Zhang. 2018. “Bearing remaining useful life prediction based on a nonlinear Wiener process model.” Shock Vib. 2018: 4068431. https://doi.org/10.1155/2018/4068431.
Xu, J., Y. Wang, and L. Xu. 2014. “PHM-oriented integrated fusion prognostics for aircraft engines based on sensor data.” IEEE Sens. J. 14 (4): 1124–1132. https://doi.org/10.1109/JSEN.2013.2293517.
Yang, F., M. S. Habibullah, T. Zhang, Z. Xu, and P. Lim. 2016. “Health index-based prognostics for remaining useful life predictions in electrical machines.” IEEE Trans. Ind. Electron. 63 (4): 1–12. https://doi.org/10.1109/TIE.2016.2515054.
Yu, H.-F., and C.-H. Chiao. 2002. “Designing an accelerated degradation experiment by optimizing the interval estimation of the mean-time-to-failure.” J. Chin. Inst. Ind. Eng. 19 (5): 23–33. https://doi.org/10.1080/10170660209509355.
Yu, Y., C. Hu, X. Si, and J. Zhang. 2017. “Degradation data-driven remaining useful life estimation in the absence of prior degradation knowledge.” J. Control Sci. Eng. 2017: 4375690. https://doi.org/10.1155/2017/4375690.
Zaidan, M. A., A. R. Mills, and R. F. Harrison. 2013. “Bayesian framework for aerospace gas turbine engine prognostics.” In IEEE Aerospace Conf. Proc., 1–8. New York: IEEE. https://doi.org/10.1109/AERO.2013.6496856.
Zhang, H., Q. Miao, X. Zhang, and Z. Liu. 2018. “An improved unscented particle filterapproach for lithium-ion battery remaining useful life prediction.” Microelectron. Reliab. 81: 288–298. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.microrel.2017.12.036.
Zhang, X., and Z. Yan. 2020. “Second-order extended particle filter with exponential family observation model.” J. Stat. Comput. Simul. 90 (12): 2156–2179. https://doi.org/10.1080/00949655.2020.1767103.
Zheng, D., and J. Zhang. 2005. “A unscented particle filtering approach to estimating competing stations in IEEE 802.11 WLANs.” In Vol. 5 of Proc., GLOBECOM ‘05. IEEE Global Telecommunications Conf., 3139–3143. https://doi.org/10.1109/GLOCOM.2005.1578335.
Zhou, R. R., N. Serban, and N. Gebraeel. 2011. “Degradation modeling applied to residual lifetime prediction using functional data analysis.” Ann. Appl. Stat. 5 (2B): 1586–1610. https://doi.org/10.1214/10-AOAS448.
Zhu, J., N. Chen, and C. Shen. 2020. “A new data-driven transferable remaining useful life prediction approach for bearing under different working conditions.” Mech. Syst. Sig. Process. 139 (May): 106602. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ymssp.2019.106602.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2021 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Received: Feb 24, 2021
Accepted: Jul 25, 2021
Published online: Oct 18, 2021
Published in print: Mar 1, 2022
Discussion open until: Mar 18, 2022
Authors
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.