Chapter
Dec 31, 2015
Estimating Error of Coastal Stage Frequency Curves
Authors: Mark D. Prater, A.M.ASCE, Thomas A. Hardy, H. Lee Butler, M.ASCE, and Leon E. Borgman, M.ASCEAuthor Affiliations
Publication: Coastal Engineering 1984
Abstract
A computer intensive statistical procedure known as the bootstrap has been used to estimate the error in coastal stage-frequency relationships due to uncertainties in hurricane meteorological distributions. These stage-frequency relationships are developed through the use of a joint probability method, so that the probability of a storm event is the product of the probabilities of the individual independent components which comprise that storm event. The bootstrap technique provides an estimate of the error of the stage-frequency by determining the variation possible in each component’s probability distribution. This variability is due to the construction of the distribution from a finite set of historical events. An example of the bootstrap is given and stage-frequency results and error estimates typical of a coastal region are shown.
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© 1985 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Published online: Dec 31, 2015
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Mark D. Prater, A.M.ASCE
Research Hydraulic Engineer, Research Division, Coastal Engineering Research Center, U. S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, P.O. Box 631, Vicksburg, MS 39180-0631
Thomas A. Hardy
Research Hydraulic Engineer, Research Division, Coastal Engineering Research Center, U. S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, P.O. Box 631, Vicksburg, MS 39180-0631
H. Lee Butler, M.ASCE
Chief, Coastal Processes Branch, Research Division, Coastal Engineering Research Center, U.S. Army Engineer Waterways Experiment Station, P.O. Box 631, Vicksburg, MS 39180-0631
Leon E. Borgman, M.ASCE
Department of Statistics, University of Wyoming, Laramie, Wyoming 82070
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