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Jan 25, 2024

Enhancing Pricing Practices of Subcontractors: A Comparative Analysis Using Simulation Modeling

Publication: Computing in Civil Engineering 2023

ABSTRACT

The construction industry often relies on subcontracting, where subcontractors bid for portions of a project before general contractors bid for the entire project in a process referred to as multi-stage bidding (MSG). MSG can be complex, and winning bidders may be burdened with underestimating their bids and encountering the winner’s curse. Despite various studies investigating this issue, further research is necessary to examine bidding strategies for subcontractors. This paper addresses this research need by exploring and comparing how bidding strategies based on reinforcement learning and game theory could aid subcontractors in mitigating the winner’s curse in MSG. The authors used a multi-step research methodology comprised of (1) formulating an MSG framework; (2) incorporating MSG game-theoretic bid function as the adopted game theory-based strategy, and modified Roth-Erev algorithm as the adopted reinforcement learning-based strategy; and (3) comparing the results of the two bidding strategies using an MSG simulation model. Results revealed that the reinforcement learning-based bidding strategy was more effective in mitigating the winner’s curse for the subcontractors in MSG compared to the game theory-based bidding strategy. Ultimately, this research may improve subcontractors’ pricing practices and support them in managing the complexities and uncertainties inherent in MSG decision-making.

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REFERENCES

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Go to Computing in Civil Engineering 2023
Computing in Civil Engineering 2023
Pages: 266 - 274

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Published online: Jan 25, 2024

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Muaz O. Ahmed [email protected]
1Ph.D. Candidate, Dept. of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental Engineering, Missouri Univ. of Science and Technology, Rolla, MO. Email: [email protected]
Islam H. El-adaway [email protected]
2Hurst-McCarthy Professor of Construction Engineering and Management, Professor of Civil Engineering, and Founding Director of Missouri Consortium of Construction Innovation, Dept. of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental Engineering and Dept. of Engineering Management and Systems Engineering, Missouri Univ. of Science and Technology, Rolla, MO. Email: [email protected]
Kalyn T. Coatney [email protected]
3Professor, Dept. of Agricultural Economics, Mississippi State Univ., Mississippi State, MS. Email: [email protected]

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