Model-Data Validation and Uncertainty Quantification of the IN-CORE and HAZUS-MH Damage Models for Buildings Impacted by Hurricane Ian (2022) at Fort Myers Beach, Florida
Publication: ASCE Inspire 2023
ABSTRACT
This paper describes a sample of data-driven validation of the Hazus-MH combined hurricane and flood damage models. The validation was conducted based on a hindcast study of the impact by Hurricane Ian (2022) on buildings in Fort Myers Beach, FL. A comprehensive virtual damage assessment (VDA) study was conducted to estimate the first-floor elevation (FFE) and the overall damage state (DS) rating from DS0 (no damage) to DS6 (complete damage) for buildings. After comprehensive quality assurance and quality control (QAQC), the damage dataset was utilized to evaluate the uncertainty in model input. A Hazus-MH Level 2 analysis was carried out for two selected census blocks using coupled hurricane and flood models, and both the VDA and Hazus-MH damage state results were combined under one scale. The outcomes will be compared with the completed hindcast dataset, as well as those of other models, such as open-source Interdependent Networked Community Resilience Modeling Environment (IN-CORE) developed by the Center for Risk-Based Community Resilience Planning. Current results indicate the success of the VDA methodology and the potential for future model-to-data and model-to-model comparisons.
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REFERENCES
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Information
Published In
ASCE Inspire 2023
Pages: 777 - 784
History
Published online: Nov 14, 2023
ASCE Technical Topics:
- Beaches
- Buildings
- Business management
- Coastal engineering
- Coasts, oceans, ports, and waterways engineering
- Continuum mechanics
- Disaster risk management
- Disasters and hazards
- Dynamics (solid mechanics)
- Engineering fundamentals
- Engineering mechanics
- Floods
- Hurricanes, typhoons, and cyclones
- Infrastructure
- Infrastructure resilience
- Management methods
- Methodology (by type)
- Motion (dynamics)
- Natural disasters
- Practice and Profession
- Quality control
- Research methods (by type)
- Shores
- Solid mechanics
- Structural engineering
- Structures (by type)
- Uncertainty principles
- Validation
- Water and water resources
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