Assessment and Prediction of Water Supply Network Reliability under Information Shortage Using Artificial Neural Networks
Publication: ASCE Inspire 2023
ABSTRACT
The paper is dedicated to application of artificial intelligence in the form of neural networks (ANN) to such critical infrastructure as urban water supply systems (WSS) that inherently are gray boxes as the information about their layout, structure, interconnection of its elements, their properties (and the properties of various loads and impacts on them) is incomplete and vague. For training the ANN, a dataset was used, consisting of 1,240 observations characterizing each pipeline of the Kamyshlov city WSS. The multilayer perceptron was chosen as the most suitable for modeling purposes because it had the highest performance at the stages of training, control, and testing. The convergence between the real and predicted values of the output parameters is quite satisfactory. As a result of the sensitivity analysis of the simulated ANN model, important conclusions about WSS reliability were obtained.
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Published online: Nov 14, 2023
ASCE Technical Topics:
- Analysis (by type)
- Artificial intelligence and machine learning
- Computer programming
- Computing in civil engineering
- Design (by type)
- Education
- Engineering fundamentals
- Infrastructure
- Infrastructure resilience
- Neural networks
- Practice and Profession
- Sensitivity analysis
- Structural behavior
- Structural design
- Structural engineering
- Structural reliability
- Training
- Water and water resources
- Water management
- Water supply
- Water supply systems
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