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Nov 14, 2023

Assessment and Prediction of Water Supply Network Reliability under Information Shortage Using Artificial Neural Networks

Publication: ASCE Inspire 2023

ABSTRACT

The paper is dedicated to application of artificial intelligence in the form of neural networks (ANN) to such critical infrastructure as urban water supply systems (WSS) that inherently are gray boxes as the information about their layout, structure, interconnection of its elements, their properties (and the properties of various loads and impacts on them) is incomplete and vague. For training the ANN, a dataset was used, consisting of 1,240 observations characterizing each pipeline of the Kamyshlov city WSS. The multilayer perceptron was chosen as the most suitable for modeling purposes because it had the highest performance at the stages of training, control, and testing. The convergence between the real and predicted values of the output parameters is quite satisfactory. As a result of the sensitivity analysis of the simulated ANN model, important conclusions about WSS reliability were obtained.

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REFERENCES

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ASCE Inspire 2023
Pages: 733 - 741

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Published online: Nov 14, 2023

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Sviatoslav A. Timashev [email protected]
1Science and Engineering Center Reliability and Safety of Large Systems and Machines, Ural Branch Russian Academy of Sciences, Yekaterinburg, Russia. Email: [email protected]
Tatyana V. Makeeva [email protected]
2Science and Engineering Center Reliability and Safety of Large Systems and Machines, Ural Branch Russian Academy of Sciences, Yekaterinburg, Russia. Email: [email protected]

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