ABSTRACT

A risk-based design approach for earthen dams (existing or proposed, for water or waste) has been developed and illustrated by a simple example. It is comprised of (1) a well-established “tolerability limit” for safety risk (maximum allowable annual probability of exceeding any particular number of equivalent fatalities), which must be met regardless of other aspects of performance; and (2) “as low as reasonably practicable” (ALARP) for all stewardship (environmental, safety, and social) risks, which is of primary interest to public/regulators, as well as for business (local financial and global corporate) risks, which is also of interest to the dam owner/corporation. The assessment of risks associated with any particular dam system option and their subsequent evaluation with respect to these criteria, if appropriately done as discussed in this paper, will lead to defensibly acceptable and best appropriate dam design.

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REFERENCES

CDA (Canadian Dam Association). (2013). Dam Safety Guidelines 2007 (2013 Edition). Canadian Dam Association. www.cda.ca/publications/cda-guidance-documents/dam-safety-publications.
FERC (Federal Energy Regulatory Commission). (2016). Risk -informed decision making (RIDM): risk guidelines for dam safety, version 4.1. March. Federal Energy Regulatory Commission, Office of Energy Projects. www.ferc.gov/dam-safety-and-inspections/risk-informed-decision-making-ridm.
ICMM (International Council on Mining and Metals). (2020). Global Industry Standard on Tailings Management (GISTM). International Council on Mining and Metals. www.icmm.com/en-gb/our-principles/tailings/global-industry-standard-on-tailings-management.
Roberds, W. (1990). “Methods for Developing Defensible Subjective Probability Assessments,”, pp. 183–190. January.
Zhu, Y., and W. Roberds. (2022). “Risk Quantification of geotechnical instability failure mode of embankment dams.” 2022 Tailings & Mine Waste Conference, November, Denver CO.

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Go to Geo-Risk 2023
Geo-Risk 2023
Pages: 301 - 311

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Published online: Jul 20, 2023

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William Roberds, Sc.D., M.ASCE [email protected]
Alan Keizur, M.ASCE [email protected]
P.E.
Anand Govindasamy, Ph.D., F.ASCE [email protected]
P.E.
Peter Chapman, Ph.D. [email protected]
4WSP-Golder, Northbridge, WA. Email: [email protected]

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