Chapter
Sep 15, 2022

Developing Load Factors for Berthing Loads Based on Monte Carlo Modeling and Statistical Analysis

Publication: Ports 2022

ABSTRACT

The design of fender-supporting structures requires proper application of load and safety factors in consideration of berthing velocities, abnormal berthing conditions, manufacturer tolerances, fender performance, etc. Current codes and guidelines remain inconsistent and unclear on how each consideration should be incorporated, resulting in inconsistent, overly-conservative, or at worst, unsafe designs. This paper applies Monte Carlo statistical modeling to examine fender reaction forces resulting from berthing velocity data. Engineers can use the resulting distribution of reaction forces to develop safe and acceptable load factors to design supporting structures to fit target reliabilities similar to those found in ASCE 7.

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REFERENCES

ASCE. (2017). Minimum Design Loads and Associated Criteria for Buildings and Other Structures, Standard ASCE/SEI 7-16. ASCE, Reston, VA.
Beckett Rankine. (2010). Berthing Velocities and Brolsma’s Curves, 270 Vauxhall Bridge Road, Westminster, London.
California Building Code. (2016). California Code of Regulations Title 24, Part 2, Volume 2, Chapter 31F, California Building Standards Commission, Sacramento, CA.
Iversen, R., et al. (2019). A Proposed Rational Approach to Design of Fenders and Supporting Structures in the United States. Proceedings of PORTS ‘19, ASCE, Reston, VA.
Iversen, R., et al. (2019). Analysis of Measured Marine Oil Terminal Berthing Velocities. Proceedings of PORTS ‘19, ASCE, Reston, VA.
PIANC. (2002). Guidelines for the Design of Fenders Systems,. PIANC, Brussels, Belgium.
US Department of Commerce/National Bureau of Standards. (1980). Development of a Probability Based Load Criterion for American National Standard A58.
Virtanen, P., et al., and SciPy 1.0 Contributors. (2020). SciPy 1.0: Fundamental Algorithms for Scientific Computing in Python. Nature Methods, 17(3), 261–272.

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Go to Ports 2022
Ports 2022
Pages: 163 - 173

History

Published online: Sep 15, 2022

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P.E.
1Simpson Gumpertz & Heger, Oakland, CA. Email: [email protected]
P.E.
2Simpson Gumpertz & Heger, Oakland, CA. Email: [email protected]
A. DiGregorio [email protected]
3Simpson Gumpertz & Heger, Oakland, CA. Email: [email protected]
4Simpson Gumpertz & Heger, Oakland, CA. Email: [email protected]
E. Washburn [email protected]
5Simpson Gumpertz & Heger, Houston, TX. Email: [email protected]

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