Diagnosing and Quantifying Post-Disaster Pipe Material Cost Fluctuations
Publication: Pipelines 2022
ABSTRACT
Natural hazards pose significant threats to the integrity of pipeline networks. Rapid post-disaster reconstruction is crucial for both the safety and survival of communities. However, sudden increases in reconstruction costs following natural hazards often hamper the rapid reconstruction and rehabilitation of pipeline networks. It is essential to investigate the post-disaster fluctuations in pipe costs for a timely reconstruction of pipeline networks. The objective of this research is to quantify the pipe cost fluctuations after the 2021 Texas winter storm using cumulative sum control charts and seasonal autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA). The results indicate that the disaster triggered statistically significant increases in pipe costs, including corrugated steel pipe costs, polyvinyl-chloride (PVC) pipe costs, ductile-iron pipe costs, and copper water tubing pipe costs. The findings of this research can assist reconstruction engineers and capital planners in quantifying post-disaster cost fluctuations, identifying vulnerable pipe costs to disasters, and enhancing pipeline reconstruction plans.
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Pipelines 2022
Pages: 185 - 195
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Published online: Jul 28, 2022
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