Chapter
Jun 3, 2021

Simulation of Water Balance Using CORDEX over a Large River Indian Basin

Publication: World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2021

ABSTRACT

This paper presents the hydrologic responses under climate change scenarios over a large river basin, Upper Narmada River Basin (UNB), India. Narmada is one of the longest western flowing rivers of India that fulfills the water requirement of Central India. In this paper, a semi-distributed hydrologic model soil and water assessment tool (SWAT) is used for estimating the future hydrological components under changing climate. Model is fine-tuned and validated by observed discharge data. In order to assess the impact of climate change, regional climate models (RCMs) from Coordinated Regional climate Downscaling Experiment (CORDEX)–MIROC5 and MPI-ESM-LR are used to simulate the water balance components. The hydrological responses of the basin were simulated under historical (1971–2000) and future climate (2071–2100) scenarios, considering the Representative Concentration Pathways (RCP) 4.5 and 8.5. Climate data were bias corrected before coupling with hydrological model.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this chapter.

REFERENCES

Abbaspour, K. C., Rouholahnejad, E., Vaghefi, S., Srinivasan, R., Yang, H., and Kløve, B. (2015). “A continental-scale hydrology and water quality model for Europe: Calibration and uncertainty of a high-resolution large-scale SWAT model.” Journal of Hydrology, 524, 733-752.
Adarsh, S., and Janga Reddy, M. (2015). “Trend analysis of rainfall in four meteorological subdivisions of southern India using nonparametric methods and discrete wavelet transforms.” International Journal of Climatology, 35(6), 1107-1124.
Arnell, N. W. (1999). “The effect of climate change on hydrological regimes in Europe: a continental perspective.” Global Environmental Change, 9(1), 5-23.
Arnold, J. G., Srinivasan, R., Muttiah, R. S., Allen, P. M., and Walker, C. 1999a. Continental scale simulation of the hydrologic balance. J. Amer. Water Resour. Assoc. 35(5): 1037-1052.
Baker, T. J., and Miller, S. N. (2013). “Using the Soil and Water Assessment Tool (SWAT) to assess land use impact on water resources in an East African watershed.” Journal of Hydrology, 486, 100-111.
Bandyopadhyay, A., Bhadra, A., Raghuwanshi, N., and Singh, R. (2009). “Temporal trends in estimates of reference evapotranspiration over India.” Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 14(5), 508-515.
Bawden, A. J., Linton, H. C., Burn, D. H., and Prowse, T. D. (2014). “A spatiotemporal analysis of hydrological trends and variability in the Athabasca River region, Canada.” Journal of Hydrology, 509, 333-342.
Camici, S., Brocca, L., Melone, F., and Moramarco, T. (2014). “Impact of Climate Change on Flood Frequency Using Different Climate Models and Downscaling Approaches.” Journal of Hydrologic Engineering, 19(8), 04014002.
Cao, W., Bowden, W. B., Davie, T., and Fenemor, A. (2006). “Multi-variable and multi-site calibration and validation of SWAT in a large mountainous catchment with high spatial variability.” Hydrological Processes, 20(5), 1057-1073.
Charlton, R., Fealy, R., Moore, S., Sweeney, J., and Murphy, C. (2006). “Assessing the Impact of Climate Change on Water Supply and Flood Hazard in Ireland Using Statistical Downscaling and Hydrological Modelling Techniques.” Climatic Change, 74(4), 475-491.
Chen, H., and Sun, J. (2015). “Assessing model performance of climate extremes in China: an intercomparison between CMIP5 and CMIP3.” Climatic Change, 129(1-2), 197-211.
Chen, H., Xu, C.-Y., and Guo, S. (2012). “Comparison and evaluation of multiple GCMs, statistical downscaling and hydrological models in the study of climate change impacts on runoff.” Journal of Hydrology, 434-435, 36-45.
Debele, B., Srinivasan, R., and Parlange, J. Y. (2006). “Coupling upland watershed and downstream waterbody hydrodynamic and water quality models (SWAT and CE-QUAL-W2) for better water resources management in complex river basins.” Environmental Modeling & Assessment, 13(1), 135-153.
Fennessy, M. J., Kinter, J. L., Kirtman, B., Marx, L., Nigam, S., Schneider, E., Shukla, J., Straus, D., Vernekar, A., Xue, Y., and Zhou, J. (1994). “The Simulated Indian Monsoon: A GCM Sensitivity Study.” Journal of Climate, 7(1), 33-43.
Fetene, A., Hilker, T., Yeshitela, K., Prasse, R., Cohen, W., and Yang, Z. (2016). “Detecting Trends in Landuse and Landcover Change of Nech Sar National Park, Ethiopia.” Environmental Management, 57(1), 137-147.
Ficklin, D. L., Luo, Y., Luedeling, E., and Zhang, M. (2009). “Climate change sensitivity assessment of a highly agricultural watershed using SWAT.” Journal of Hydrology, 374(1), 16-29.
Ghosh, S., and Katkar, S. (2012). “Modeling Uncertainty Resulting from Multiple Downscaling Methods in Assessing Hydrological Impacts of Climate Change.” Water Resources Management, 26(12), 3559-3579.
Graham, L. P., Hagemann, S., Jaun, S., and Beniston, M. (2007). “On interpreting hydrological change from regional climate models.” Climatic Change, 81(1), 97-122.
Jain, S., Kumar, V., and Saharia, M. (2013). “Analysis of rainfall and temperature trends in northeast India.” International Journal of Climatology, 33(4), 968-978.
Jiang, F.-Q., Zhu, C., and Hu, R.-J. (2002). “Trend Analysis of Precipitation over Northern Xinjiang for the Period 1961-1997 [J].” Scientia Geographica Sinica, 6, 004.
Liu, G. H., Luan, Z. Q., Yan, B. X., Guo, Y. D., and Wang, Z. X. (2015). “Response of hydrological processes to land use change and climate variability in the upper Naoli River watershed, northeast China.” Water Resour, 42(4), 438-447.
Mishra, A. K., Özger, M., and Singh, V. P. (2009). “Trend and persistence of precipitation under climate change scenarios for Kansabati basin, India.” Hydrological Processes, 23(16), 2345-2357.
Mondal, A., and Mujumdar, P. P. (2012). “On the basin-scale detection and attribution of human-induced climate change in monsoon precipitation and streamflow.” Water Resources Research, 48(10), n/a-n/a.
Pachauri, R. K., Allen, M., Barros, V., Broome, J., Cramer, W., Christ, R., Church, J., Clarke, L., Dahe, Q., and Dasgupta, P. (2014). “Climate Change 2014: Synthesis Report. Contribution of Working Groups I, II and III to the Fifth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change.”
Pandey, B. K., Gosain, A. K., Paul, G., and Khare, D. (2016). “Climate change impact assessment on hydrology of a small watershed using semi-distributed model.” Applied Water Science, 1-13.
Pandey, B. K., Tiwari, H., and Khare, D. (2017). Trend analysis using discrete wavelet transform (DWT) for long-term precipitation (1851–2006) over India. Hydrological sciences journal, 62(13), 2187-2208.
Partal, T., and Kahya, E. (2006). “Trend analysis in Turkish precipitation data.” Hydrological processes, 20(9), 2011-2026.
Pingale, S. M., Khare, D., Jat, M. K., and Adamowski, J. (2014). “Spatial and temporal trends of mean and extreme rainfall and temperature for the 33 urban centers of the arid and semi-arid state of Rajasthan, India.” Atmospheric Research, 138, 73-90.
Rahmani, V., Hutchinson, S. L., Harrington, J. A., Jr., Hutchinson, J., and Anandhi, A. (2015). “Analysis of temporal and spatial distribution and change-points for annual precipitation in Kansas, USA.” International Journal of Climatology, 35(13), 3879-3887.
Raju, K. S., and Kumar, D. N. (2014). “Ranking of global climate models for India using multicriterion analysis.” Climate Research, 60(2), 103-117.
Sethi, R., Pandey, B. K., Krishan, R., Khare, D., and Nayak, P. C. (2015). “Performance evaluation and hydrological trend detection of a reservoir under climate change condition.” Model. Earth Syst. Environ., 1(4), 1-10.
Shifteh Some'e, B., Ezani, A., and Tabari, H. (2012). “Spatiotemporal trends and change point of precipitation in Iran.” Atmospheric Research, 113, 1-12.
Singh, A., Imtiyaz, M., Isaac, R. K., and Denis, D. M. (2014). “Assessing the performance and uncertainty analysis of the SWAT and RBNN models for simulation of sediment yield in the Nagwa watershed, India.” Hydrological Sciences Journal, 59(2), 351-364.
Sneyers, R. (1997). “Climate chaotic instability: statistical determination and theoretical background.” Environmetrics, 8(5), 517-532.
Ting, M., and Wang, H. (1997). “Summertime US Precipitation Variability and Its Relation toPacific Sea Surface Temperature.” Journal of Climate, 10(8), 1853-1873.
Tiwari, H., and Pandey, B. K. (2019). Non-parametric characterization of long-term rainfall time series. Meteorology and Atmospheric Physics, 131(3), 627-637.
Widmann, M., and Schär, C. (1997). “A principal component and long-term trend analysis of daily precipitation in Switzerland.” International Journal of Climatology, 17(12), 1333-1356.
Xu, K., Milliman, J. D., and Xu, H. (2010). “Temporal trend of precipitation and runoff in major Chinese Rivers since 1951.” Global and Planetary Change, 73(3), 219-232.
Yang, J., Reichert, P., Abbaspour, K. C., Xia, J., and Yang, H. (2008). “Comparing uncertainty analysis techniques for a SWAT application to the Chaohe Basin in China.” Journal of Hydrology, 358(1-2), 1-23.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2021
World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2021
Pages: 222 - 230

History

Published online: Jun 3, 2021

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Brij Kishor Pandey, Ph.D. [email protected]
1Dept. of Civil Engineering, Birla Institute of Technology and Science, Pilani–Dubai Campus, UAE. Email: [email protected]
Deepak Khare, Ph.D.
2Dept. of Water Resources Development and Management, Indian Institute of Technology Roorkee, India

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Paper
$35.00
Add to cart
Buy E-book
$212.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Paper
$35.00
Add to cart
Buy E-book
$212.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share