ABSTRACT

Regional three-dimensional (3D) forward modeling stability analyses are presented for the Egkremnoi coastline of Lefkada Island in Greece. The pre-earthquake 5-m resolution DEM of the region was used as input for the regional 3D model and the modeling results were evaluated for five large landslides that occurred in the area during a Mw 6.5 earthquake that occurred in 2015. The area ratio and the overlap area ratio were defined to quantitatively assess the geospatial “match” between predicted and mapped landslides. Parametric analyses using variable material strength and DEM resolution were subsequently conducted to assess the influence of the input on the estimates of factor of safety, geometry, and location for the predicted most critical landslide. For the cases studied here, the assumed material strength has a greater influence on the factor of safety compared with DEM resolution. However, we find that the DEM resolution has a more pronounced influence on the location and size of predicted landslides.

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IFCEE 2021
Pages: 130 - 138

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Published online: May 6, 2021

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Weibing Gong, S.M.ASCE [email protected]
1Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA. Email: [email protected]
Dimitrios Zekkos, Ph.D., M.ASCE [email protected]
P.E.
2Dept. of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of California, Berkeley, CA. Email: [email protected]
Marin Clark, Ph.D. [email protected]
3Dept. of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Univ. of Michigan, Ann Arbor, MI. Email: [email protected]
John Manousakis [email protected]
4Elxis Group, Athens, Greece. Email: [email protected]
Dalia Kirshbaum, Ph.D. [email protected]
5NASA Goddard Space Flight Center, Greenbelt, MD. Email: [email protected]

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