Regional 3D Stability Analyses of the Egkremnoi Coastline and Comparison with Landslides Caused by the 2015 Lefkada Earthquake
Publication: IFCEE 2021
ABSTRACT
Regional three-dimensional (3D) forward modeling stability analyses are presented for the Egkremnoi coastline of Lefkada Island in Greece. The pre-earthquake 5-m resolution DEM of the region was used as input for the regional 3D model and the modeling results were evaluated for five large landslides that occurred in the area during a Mw 6.5 earthquake that occurred in 2015. The area ratio and the overlap area ratio were defined to quantitatively assess the geospatial “match” between predicted and mapped landslides. Parametric analyses using variable material strength and DEM resolution were subsequently conducted to assess the influence of the input on the estimates of factor of safety, geometry, and location for the predicted most critical landslide. For the cases studied here, the assumed material strength has a greater influence on the factor of safety compared with DEM resolution. However, we find that the DEM resolution has a more pronounced influence on the location and size of predicted landslides.
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© 2021 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Published online: May 6, 2021
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