Chapter
Aug 31, 2020
International Conference on Transportation and Development 2020

Hybrid Data-Fusion Model for Short-Term Road Hazardous Segments Identification Based on the Acceleration and Deceleration Information

Publication: International Conference on Transportation and Development 2020

ABSTRACT

Road hazardous segments (HS) identification is valid and useful to improve traffic safety and save life. Traditionally, researchers always use long-term historical crash data with the simulation model to find the HS, which is always a way of being wise after the tragedy. However, this paper promotes a scheme of short-term real-time HS identification scheme based on the traffic inconstancy features. Using accumulative historical floating vehicle data to show and capture the road-segment level of spatial-temporal inconstancy features, then combined with the real-time loop detector data along the same road segments, his paper uses an innovative hybrid model called the standard deviation accident model (SDAM) to identify the three risky levels of HS, suspected, hazardous, and dangerous. A day was broken into 83-hour short-term periods, and the model is fitted by two weeks crash data and validated by 3 days, and achieve the accuracy over 73% for identifying the short-term hazard on each road segment (average length 0.826 km) of total 177 road segments. The success of the SDAM model is mainly due to the well-use of the inconstancy information captured from the long-term historical trajectory data. It was found that the inconstancy of speed and deceleration are close related to the HS identification (with a p-value less than 0.001) significantly. The features of HS road segments are summarized, and the safety improvement suggestions are provided at the end of the paper.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this chapter.

REFERENCES

World Health Organization. (2015). Global status report on road safety 2015. World Health Organization.
LI, X. Y., Zhang, N., & JIANG, G. F. (2003). Grey-Markov model for forecasting road accidents [J]. Journal of highway and transportation research and development, 4, 98.
Kim, J. K., Wang, Y., & Ulfarsson, G. F. (2007). Modeling the probability of freeway rear-end crash occurrence. Journal of transportation engineering, 133(1), 11-19.
Lao, Y., Zhang, G., Wang, Y., & Milton, J. (2014). Generalized nonlinear models for rear-end crash risk analysis. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 62, 9-16.
Grant, E., Salmon, P. M., Stevens, N. J., Goode, N., & Read, G. J. (2018). Back to the future: What do accident causation models tell us about accident prediction?. Safety science, 104, 99-109.
Yannis, G., Dragomanovits, A., Laiou, A., La Torre, F., Domenichini, L., Richter, T., … & Karathodorou, N. (2017, May). Road traffic accident prediction modelling: a literature review. In Proceedings of the Institution of Civil Engineers-Transport (Vol. 170, No. 5, pp. 245-254). Thomas Telford Ltd.
Hu, W., Xiao, X., Xie, D., Tan, T., & Maybank, S. (2004). Traffic accident prediction using 3-D model-based vehicle tracking. IEEE transactions on vehicular technology, 53(3), 677-694.
Dereli, M. A., & Erdogan, S. (2017). A new model for determining the traffic accident black spots using GIS-aided spatial statistical methods. Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, 103, 106-117.
Quddus, M. A. (2008). Time series count data models: an empirical application to traffic accidents. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 40(5), 1732-1741.
Zeng, Z., Zhu, W., Ke, R., Ash, J., Wang, Y., Xu, J., & Xu, X. (2017). A generalized nonlinear model-based mixed multinomial logit approach for crash data analysis. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 99, 51-65.
Garber, N. J., & Gadirau, R. (1988). Speed Variance and Its Influence on Accidents.
Solomon, D. (1964). Accidents on main rural highways related to speed, driver, and vehicle.
Oh, C., Oh, J. S., Ritchie, S., & Chang, M. (2001, January). Real-time estimation of freeway accident likelihood. In 80th Annual Meeting of the Transportation Research Board, Washington, DC.
WANG, Y., IEDA, H., SAITO, K., & TAKAHASHI, K. (1999). Using Accidents Observations to Evaluate Rear End Accident Risk at Four Legged Signalized Intersections. In Selected proceedings of the 8th World Conference on Transport Research (Vol. 2, pp. 123-136).
Wang, Y., Ieda, H., & Mannering, F. (2003). Estimating rear-end accident probabilities at signalized intersections: occurrence-mechanism approach. Journal of Transportation engineering, 129(4), 377-384.
Chiou, Y. C. (2006). An artificial neural network-based expert system for the appraisal of two-car crash accidents. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 38(4), 777-785.
Ceder, A., & Livneh, M. (1982). Relationships between road accidents and hourly traffic flow—I: analyses and interpretation. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 14(1), 19-34.
Ding, C., Ma, X., Wang, Y., & Wang, Y. (2015). Exploring the influential factors in incident clearance time: disentangling causation from self-selection bias. Accident Analysis & Prevention, 85, 58-65.
Mousavi, Seyedeh Maryam. “Identifying High Crash Risk Roadways through Jerk-Cluster Analysis.” (2015).
Owsley, C., & McGwin Jr, G. (2010). Vision and driving. Vision research, 50(23), 2348-2361.
Ma, Xiaolei, et al. “Long short-term memory neural network for traffic speed prediction using remote microwave sensor data.” Transportation Research Part C: Emerging Technologies 54 (2015): 187-197.
Fu, Xin, et al. “A hybrid neural network for large-scale expressway network OD prediction based on toll data.” PloS one 14.5 (2019): e0217241.
Yang, Hao, et al. Cell-Speed Prediction Neural Network (CPNN): A Deep Learning Approach for Trip-Based Speed Prediction. 2019.
Huang, Tsung-Wei, et al. “Multi-View Vehicle Re-Identification using Temporal Attention Model and Metadata Re-ranking.” AI City Challenge Workshop, IEEE/CVF Computer Vision and Pattern Recognition (CVPR) Conference, Long Beach, California. 2019.)

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to International Conference on Transportation and Development 2020
International Conference on Transportation and Development 2020
Pages: 313 - 326
Editor: Guohui Zhang, Ph.D., University of Hawaii
ISBN (Online): 978-0-7844-8314-5

History

Published online: Aug 31, 2020
Published in print: Aug 31, 2020

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Hao (Frank) Yang [email protected]
1Ph.D. Student, Dept. of Civil and Environment Engineering, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA. Email: [email protected]
Chenxi Liu
2Ph.D. Student, Dept. of Civil and Environment Engineering, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA.
Meixin Zhu
3Ph.D. Student, Dept. of Civil and Environment Engineering, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA.
4Research Associate, Dept. Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA. Email: [email protected]
Yinhai Wang, Ph.D., M.ASCE [email protected]
P.E.
5Professor and Director, Pacific Northwest Transportation Consortium (PacTrans), Federal Region 10, Civil and Environmental Engineering, Univ. of Washington, Seattle, WA. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Paper
$35.00
Add to cart
Buy E-book
$80.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Paper
$35.00
Add to cart
Buy E-book
$80.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share