World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2020
Development of Extreme Rainfall Intensity-Duration-Frequency Relations at Ungauged Locations in the Context of Regional Climate Change
Publication: World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2020: Groundwater, Sustainability, Hydro-Climate/Climate Change, and Environmental Engineering
ABSTRACT
Several approaches have been proposed for assessing the impacts of climate change on extreme rainfall (ER) processes at “gauged” sites but very few methods are available for linking climate change projections to the ERs at an “ungauged” location where rainfall record is limited or unavailable. Therefore, the main objective of this study is to propose an improved method that could be used for constructing reliable rainfall intensity-duration-frequency (IDF) relations at an ungauged site in consideration of climate change projections given by different climate models. The proposed approach consists of: (i) a regional-to-point downscaling to link daily regional rainfalls to daily extreme rainfalls at a given ungauged site, and (ii) a temporal downscaling using the scale-invariance GEV model to link daily-to-sub-daily extreme rainfall distributions at the same location. Results of an illustrative application using the downscaled 25-km regional rainfall data given by the climate simulations of 21 global climate models, and the observed extreme rainfall data from a network of 84 raingages located in Ontario region (Canada) have indicated the feasibility and accuracy of the proposed approach.
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ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS
The authors would like to acknowledge the funding provided by the Faculty of Engineering at McGill University (MEDA) and the Natural Science and Engineering Research Council (NSERC) Canadian FloodNet (Grant number: NETGP 451456) for this project.
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World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2020: Groundwater, Sustainability, Hydro-Climate/Climate Change, and Environmental Engineering
Pages: 175 - 185
Editors: Sajjad Ahmad, Ph.D., and Regan Murray, Ph.D.
ISBN (Online): 978-0-7844-8296-4
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© 2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Published online: May 14, 2020
Published in print: May 14, 2020
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