Geo-Congress 2020
Effect of Earthquake Intensity on Probabilistic Analysis of Dam-Reservoir-Foundation Systems
Publication: Geo-Congress 2020: Modeling, Geomaterials, and Site Characterization (GSP 317)
ABSTRACT
Considering heterogeneous media for foundation of dams in modeling of infrastructure such as dam-reservoir-foundation coupled system leads to considerable increase in time and costs of analysis. On the other hand, simplifying the problem by assuming homogeneity, which is a common approach among research owing to complexity of this natural media, increases the level of uncertainty. The purpose of this paper is to evaluate the effect of uncertainties in mechanical properties of foundations on the seismic response of concrete gravity dam-reservoir-foundation system. Toward this end, Pine Flat Dam is used as a reference case and three levels of earthquake intensities of operation basis earthquake (OBE), maximum design earthquake (MDE), and maximum credible earthquake (MCE) are imposed to each model. Deconvolution process is then carried out to elaborate the significance of this approach. It is demonstrated that neglecting deconvolution process will lead to underestimating the exceedance probability (EP) curves, especially at the higher levels of intensity for the input motions. In addition, it is shown that by increasing the intensity of earthquake, EP curves are shifting up in a way that the probability of undergoing severe damage in MCE level is more than 90% while this probability for OBE level is less than 5%.
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Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Geo-Congress 2020: Modeling, Geomaterials, and Site Characterization (GSP 317)
Pages: 518 - 531
Editors: James P. Hambleton, Ph.D., Northwestern University, Roman Makhnenko, Ph.D., University of Illinois at Urbana-Champaign, and Aaron S. Budge, Ph.D., Minnesota State University, Mankato
ISBN (Online): 978-0-7844-8280-3
Copyright
© 2020 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published online: Feb 21, 2020
Published in print: Feb 21, 2020
ASCE Technical Topics:
- Analysis (by type)
- Chemical properties
- Chemistry
- Continuum mechanics
- Curvature
- Dam foundations
- Dynamics (solid mechanics)
- Earthquakes
- Engineering fundamentals
- Engineering mechanics
- Environmental engineering
- Foundations
- Geohazards
- Geometry
- Geotechnical engineering
- Heterogeneity
- Infrastructure
- Mathematics
- Motion (dynamics)
- Probability
- Solid mechanics
- System analysis
- Uncertainty principles
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