Chapter
Sep 21, 2015
Reliability Prediction Method of an EMU Bogie
Authors: Yonghua Li [email protected], Qingyuan Liu, and Hongjie Yu [email protected]Author Affiliations
Publication: ICTE 2015
Abstract
One reliability prediction method of combining evidence theory interval fusion with Pignistic probability transformation is proposed based on the existing failure rate of similar products. According to the Pignistic probability transformation, the evaluation results of weight evaluated by experts and its confidence lever are converted into gambling probability function. Using evidence theory interval fusion technology conducts synthesis calculation. Interval point estimates are calculated by inverse operation of Pignistic probability transformation and normalized. The weight values of subsystems are obtained and the results of reliability prediction are known. The proposed method is applied on EMU bogie to conduct reliability prediction. The case indicates that the proposed method both considerate the existing failure rates of similar products and combined the evaluation of experts to the subsystems. The reliability prediction results show that this method is more objective.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this chapter.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
ICTE 2015
Pages: 2331 - 2337
Copyright
© 2015 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published online: Sep 21, 2015
Permissions
Request permissions for this article.
Authors
Affiliations
School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Dalian Jiaotong University, Dalian 116028, China. E-mail: [email protected]
Qingyuan Liu
Knorr-Bremse Braking Systems for Commercial Vehicles (Dalian) Co. Ltd., Dalian 116620, China.
School of Traffic and Transportation Engineering, Dalian Jiaotong University, Dalian 116028, China. E-mail: [email protected]
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.
View Options
Get Access
Access content
Please select your options to get access
Log in/Register
Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members:
Please log in to see member pricing
Purchase
Save for later Item saved, go to cart Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Get Access
Access content
Please select your options to get access
Log in/Register
Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members:
Please log in to see member pricing
Purchase
Save for later Item saved, go to cart Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.