Chapter
Jul 7, 2014
Reliability Analysis with Ill-Known Probabilities and Dependencies
Authors: S. Destercke [email protected], M. Poss [email protected], and M. Sallak [email protected]Author Affiliations
Publication: Vulnerability, Uncertainty, and Risk: Quantification, Mitigation, and Management
Abstract
In this work, we are interested in estimating the uncertainty that a system will work, given the probabilities that its components will be either failing or working. Usually, this estimation is done by propagating the component uncertainties through a structure function. This problem is well-studied when component probabilities are known and when the componenst are assumed to be independent. In this paper, we first recall some results obtained when considering that probabilities are unknown and when one either assumes component independence or no knowledge about the component's dependence. We also explore some structures not studied up to now, such as consecutive k-out-of-n structures.
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© 2014 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Published online: Jul 7, 2014
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University of Technology of Compiègne, France. E-mail: [email protected]
University of Technology of Compiègne, France. E-mail: [email protected]
University of Technology of Compiègne, France. E-mail: [email protected]
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