Chapter
Jul 8, 2013
Integrating Climate Forecasts and Reforecast Products into Reservoir Operations Management
Authors: Rebecca Guihan [email protected], Austin Polebitski, Richard Palmer, and Casey BrownAuthor Affiliations
Publication: World Environmental and Water Resources Congress 2013: Showcasing the Future
Abstract
This research evaluates the quality and value of forecasts generated from the Climate Forecast System version 2 (CFSv2) using the Jackson Hydropower Project on the Sultan River in Washington State as a case study. Streamflow reforecasts are generated and used to evaluate the predictive skill of the CFSv2 in the context of decision making and reservoir operations. An analog method is used to downscale and bias correct the CFSv2 reforecast data by selecting scenarios from the observed record that are similar to the current CFSv2 precipitation conditions. These constructed analog data serve as input to a watershed model (SAC-SMA) that generates streamflow values. Finally, the streamflows produced from the analog reforecast data, climatology, and the observed record are run through an optimization model of each system. Metrics of system performance are compared for the reforecast, climatology, and observed scenarios to evaluate the potential benefits of using CFSv2 seasonal forecasts in systems decision making.
Get full access to this article
View all available purchase options and get full access to this chapter.
Information & Authors
Information
Published In
Copyright
© 2013 American Society of Civil Engineers.
History
Published online: Jul 8, 2013
Permissions
Request permissions for this article.
Authors
Affiliations
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Massachusetts Amherst, 42 Marston Hall, 130 Natural Resources Rd, Amherst, MA 01003. E-mail: [email protected]
Austin Polebitski
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Massachusetts Amherst, 42 Marston Hall, 130 Natural Resources Rd, Amherst, MA 01003. E-mail: [email protected]
Richard Palmer
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Massachusetts Amherst, 42 Marston Hall, 130 Natural Resources Rd, Amherst, MA 01003. E-mail: [email protected]
Casey Brown
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, University of Massachusetts Amherst, 42 Marston Hall, 130 Natural Resources Rd, Amherst, MA 01003. E-mail: [email protected]
Metrics & Citations
Metrics
Citations
Download citation
If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.
View Options
Get Access
Access content
Please select your options to get access
Log in/Register
Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members:
Please log in to see member pricing
Purchase
Save for later Item saved, go to cart Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Get Access
Access content
Please select your options to get access
Log in/Register
Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members:
Please log in to see member pricing
Purchase
Save for later Item saved, go to cart Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.