Chapter
Apr 26, 2012
Variable Shoreline Responses to Sea-Level Rise and Climate Change
Authors: A. Brad Murray [email protected], Lisa Valvo [email protected], Jordan Slott [email protected], Andrew Ashton [email protected], and Tom Crowley [email protected]Author Affiliations
Publication: Coastal Sediments '07
Abstract
Researchers and coastal managers are addressing how climate change will affect shorelines. Important questions include: How far will a sandy shoreline retreat as sea level rise accelerates? And, how far landward will the effects of possibly intensified storms reach? These questions are most often investigated in a cross-shore profile framework, fostering the implicit assumption that coastline responses will be approximately uniform in the alongshore direction. However, we describe here experiments with a recently developed numerical model of coastline change involving shoreface geology and sediment-transport processes which suggest that the responses to sea-level rise are likely to be alongshore-heterogeneous. The interactions between accelerating sea-level rise, alongshore sediment transport, and spatially variable underlying material will tend to cause spatially variable retreat rates. We compare these sea-level-rise effects to other climate-change related shoreline impacts suggested by recent modeling work. Slott et al. have suggested that as storm behaviors and wave climates change, shifts in complex large-scale coastline shapes will cause alongshore variation in shoreline-change rates that could be an order of magnitude greater than sea-level-rise-related shoreline changes.
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© 2007 American Society of Civil Engineers.
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Published online: Apr 26, 2012
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Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences; Center for Nonlinear and Complex Systems, Duke University, Box 90230, Durham, NC 27708-0230. E-mail: [email protected]
Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences; Center for Nonlinear and Complex Systems, Duke University, Box 90230, Durham, NC 27708-0230. E-mail: [email protected]
Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences; Center for Nonlinear and Complex Systems, Duke University, Box 90230, Durham, NC 27708-0230. E-mail: [email protected]
Woods Hole Oceanographic Institution, Clark 257, MS # 22 Woods Hole, MA, 02543. E-mail: [email protected]
Division of Earth and Ocean Sciences, Nicholas School of the Environment and Earth Sciences; Center for Nonlinear and Complex Systems, Duke University, Box 90230, Durham, NC 27708-0230. E-mail: [email protected]
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