Abstract

A system of hydrodynamic, morphodynamic and reliability models have been coupled to generate insights into the effects of climate change and coastal management practices on coastal erosion and flood risk over 50km of coastline and up to 100 years in the future. Offshore wave conditions were propagated inshore using TOMAWAC and the SCAPE soft cliff and platform erosion model was then used to predict recession of the soft coastal cliffs, the effects of cliff protection and sediment supplies to low-lying down-drift coasts. A reliability model, based upon joint probabilities of wave heights and water levels, has been used to estimate the probability of failure of the sea dikes on the low-lying coast, and a simple 2D inundation model and GIS have been used to estimate flood risk.

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Published In

Go to Coastal Dynamics 2005
Coastal Dynamics 2005: State of the Practice
Pages: 1 - 15

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Published online: Apr 26, 2012

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Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU. E-mail: UK. [email protected]
Richard Dawson [email protected]
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU, UK. E-mail: [email protected]
Mike Walkden [email protected]
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Newcastle upon Tyne NE1 7RU, UK. E-mail: [email protected]
Mark Dickson [email protected]
National Institute of Water & Atmospheric Research, PO Box 8602, Riccarton, Christchurch, New Zealand. E-mail: [email protected]
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Manchester, Manchester M60 1QD. E-mail: UK. [email protected]
Jiangou Zhou [email protected]
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Manchester, Manchester M60 1QD, UK. E-mail: [email protected]
Robert Nicholls [email protected]
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of Southampton, Southampton SO17 1BJ, UK. E-mail: [email protected]
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ UK. E-mail: [email protected]
Andrew Watkinson [email protected]
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East Anglia, Norwich NR4 7TJ UK. E-mail: [email protected]

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