Case Studies
Nov 9, 2020

Identification and Mechanisms of Regional Urban Shrinkage: A Case Study of Wuhan City in the Heart of Rapidly Growing China

Publication: Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 147, Issue 1

Abstract

Urban shrinkage has been witnessed often throughout the history of Western cities and occurs concurrently with population loss, economic decline, neighborhood decay, and other profound changes to urban spaces and the built environment. Unlike in the Western context, urban shrinkage in China has occurred concurrently with rapid urbanization and urban growth, marking a relatively new urban phenomenon, known as regional urban shrinkage, that has recently emerged in large Chinese cities and metropolitan areas. This study aims to better understand regional urban shrinkage by identifying such shrinkage and exploring its mechanisms in Wuhan, a megacity in Central China. Drawing on population data, land-supply data, and night-time light data, this study first identifies areas of regional urban shrinkage through the dimensions of demography, land use, and economy and then conducts a qualitative investigation of Wuhan’s Qingshan District as a pilot study to explore the mechanisms and causality of regional urban shrinkage from the perspectives of antiglobalization, industrial transformation, and capital circuits. This study expands the research paradigm of urban shrinkage in the Western context to Eastern society by contributing an empirical study conducted in China and broadens current scholarship by focusing on the complexity, contextualization, and localization of urban shrinkage.

Get full access to this article

View all available purchase options and get full access to this article.

Acknowledgments

This research was funded by Hubei Provincial Natural Science Foundation of China (2020CFB350) and Fundamental Research Funds for the Central Universities (CCNU20QN031).

Data Availability Statement

All data, models, or code generated or used during the study are available in a repository online in accordance with funder data retention policies. Population data can be found at http://tjj.wuhan.gov.cn/newslist.aspx?id=2012111010461248; land supply data can be found at http://zrzyhgh.wuhan.gov.cn/pt-317-2.html; night-time light data can be found at http://www.ngdc.noaa.gov/dmsp/download.html.
All data, models, or code generated or used during the study are available from the corresponding author by request.

References

American Chamber of Commerce in China. 2018. “Impact of U.S. and Chinese tariffs on American companies in China.” Accessed September 28, 2019. https://www.amcham-shanghai.org/sites/default/files/2018-09/2018%20U.S.-China%20tariff%20report.pdf.
Audirac, I. 2018. “Introduction: Shrinking cities from marginal to mainstream: Views from North America and Europe.” Cities 75: 1–5. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cities.2017.10.012.
Audirac, I., S. Fol, and C. Martinez-Fernandez. 2010. “Shrinking cities in a time of crisis.” Berkeley Plann. J. 23 (1): 51–57. https://doi.org/10.5070/BP323111430.
Beauregard, R. A. 2009. “Urban population loss in historical perspective: United States, 18202000.” Environ. Plann. A 41 (3): 514–528. https://doi.org/10.1068/a40139a.
Bernt, M. 2016. “The limits of shrinkage: Conceptual pitfalls and alternatives in the discussion of urban population loss.” Int. J. Urban Reg. Res. 40 (3): 441–450. https://doi.org/10.1111/1468-2427.12289.
Cai, Z., S. Wang, and J. Qiao. 2015. “Township GDP estimation of the Pearl River Delta based on the NPP-VIIRS night-time satellite data.” [In Chinese.] Trop. Geogr. 35 (3): 379–385.
Chinese Bureau of Statistics. 2000. “The fifth population census.” [In Chinese.] Accessed September 28, 2019. http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/zxfb/201104/t20110428_12705.html.
Chinese Bureau of Statistics. 2010. “The sixth population census.” [In Chinese.] http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/pcsj/rkpc/6rp/indexch.htm.
Chinese Bureau of Statistics. 2015. “1% National population sampling survey report.” [In Chinese.] http://www.stats.gov.cn/tjsj/zxfb/201604/t20160420_1346151.html.
CRU (Commodity Research Unit). 2008. “CRU-index.” Accessed September 28, 2019. http://www.crugroup.com.
Delken, E. 2008. “Happiness in shrinking cities in Germany.” J. Happiness Stud. 9 (2): 213–218. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10902-007-9046-5.
Du, Z., and X. Li. 2017a. “The formation and planning of shrinking cities from new marxism urban theory.” [In Chinese.] Planner 33 (1): 5–11. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1006-0022.2017.01.001.
Du, Z., and X. Li. 2017b. “Growth or shrinkage: New phenomena of regional development in the rapidly-urbanising Pearl River Delta.” [In Chinese.] Acta Geog. Sin. 75 (10): 1800–1811. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlxb201710006.
Du, Z., and X. Li. 2018. “Characteristic and mechanism of urban growth and shrinkage from demographic change perspective: A case study of Dongguan.” [In Chinese.] Sci. Geogr. Sin. 38 (11): 1837–1846. https://doi.org/10.13249/j.cnki.sgs.2018.11.011.
Dunford, M., and W. Liu, eds. 2015. The geographical transformation of China. Abingdon, UK: Routledge.
Editor Committee of History of Wuhan Steel Factory. 1988. History of Wuhan Steel Factory: 1952–1981. [In Chinese.] Wuhan, China: Wuhan Publisher.
Elvidge, C. D., M. L. Imhoff, K. E. Baugh, V. R. Hobson, I. Nelson, J. Safran, J. B. Dietz, and B. T. Tuttle. 2001 “Night-time lights of the world: 1994–1995.” ISPRS J. Photogramm. Remote Sens. 56 (2): 81–99. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0924-2716(01)00040-5.
Elzerman, K., and M. Bontje. 2015. “Urban shrinkage in Parkstad Limburg.” Eur. Plann. Stud. 23 (1): 87–103. https://doi.org/10.1080/09654313.2013.820095.
Fan, J. 2019. “Space–time analysis and factors attribution of urban shrinkage in Northeast China.” [In Chinese.] In Shrinking cities in China, edited by Y. Long and S. Gao, 83–101. Singapore: Springer.
Friedman, T. L. 2005. The world is flat: A brief history of the twenty-first century. New York: Macmillan.
Fu, D., and Y. Wu. 2013. “Export wage premium in China’s manufacturing sector: A firm level analysis.” [In Chinese.] China Econ. Rev. 26: 182–196. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.chieco.2012.05.009.
Gao, S. 2017. “Tracing the phenomenon concept and research of shrinking cities.” [In Chinese.] Urban Plann. Int. 32 (3): 50–58. https://doi.org/10.22217/upi.2016.228.
Gao, S. 2019. “Shrinking cities” depopulation process and spatial pattern: A transnational comparison between Yichun, Heilongjiang, China, and Youngstown Metropolitan Area, US.” In Shrinking cities in China, edited by Y. Long and S. Gao, 125–140. Singapore: Springer.
Gao, S., and Y. Long. 2016. “Distinguishing and planning shrinking cities in northeast China.” [In Chinese.] Planner 33 (1): 26–32. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1006-0022.2017.01.004.
Gao, Z., N. Yin, X. Tong, D. Li, and J. Gu. 2019. “Shrinkage under urban growth: A case study of Wuhan City.” [In Chinese.] Trop. Geogr. 39 (1): 29–36. https://doi.org/10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.003103.
Ghosh, T., S. Anderson, R. Powell, P. Sutton, and C. Elvidge et al. 2009. “Estimation of Mexico’s informal economy and remittances using nighttime imagery.” Remote Sens. 1 (3): 418–444. https://doi.org/10.3390/rs1030418.
Haase, A., M. Bernt, K. Großmann, V. Mykhnenko, and D. Rink. 2016. “Varieties of shrinkage in European cities.” Eur. Urban Reg. Stud. 23 (1): 86–102. https://doi.org/10.1177/0969776413481985.
Haase, A., D. Rink, K. Grossmann, M. Bernt, and V. Mykhnenko. 2014a. “Conceptualizing urban shrinkage.” Environ. Plann. A 46 (7): 1519–1534. https://doi.org/10.1068/a46269.
Haase, D., A. Haase, and D. Rink. 2014b. “Conceptualizing the nexus between urban shrinkage and ecosystem services.” Landscape Urban Plann. 132: 159–169. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.landurbplan.2014.09.003.
Han, X., Y. Zhou, S. Wang, R. Liu, and Y. Yao. 2012. “GDP spatialization in China based on nighttime imagery.” [In Chinese.] J. Geo-Inf. Sci. 14 (1): 128–136. https://doi.org/10.3724/SP.J.1047.2012.00128.
Harvey, D. 1982. The limits to capital. Oxford, UK: Blackwell.
He, Y., and L. Yang. 2019. “Research on the spatial distribution and influencing factors of shrinking cities in Jilin Province.” In Shrinking cities in China, edited by Y. Long and S. Gao, 63–81. Singapore: Springer.
Hollander, J. B., and J. Nemeth. 2011. “The bounds of smart decline: A foundational theory for planning shrinking cities.” Housing Policy Debate 21 (3): 349–367. https://doi.org/10.1080/10511482.2011.585164.
Hollander, J. B., K. Pallagst, T. Schwarz, and F. J. Popper. 2009. “Planning shrinking cities.” Prog. Plann. 72 (4): 223–232.
Lang, T. L. 2012. “Shrinkage, metropolization and peripheralization in East Germany.” Eur. Plann. Stud. 20 (10): 1747–1754. https://doi.org/10.1080/09654313.2012.713336.
Lee, B. 2019. “Assessing made in China 2025, the US—China trade war and ways going forward.” CMC Senior Theses. Accessed September 28, 2019. https://scholarship.claremont.edu/cmc_theses/1996.
Li, X., et al. 2017. “Academic debates upon shrinking cities in China for sustainable development.” [In Chinese.] Geogr. Res. 36 (10): 1997–2016. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlyj201710015.
Li, X., Z. W. Du, and X. F. Li. 2015. “The spatial distribution and mechanism of city shrinkage in the Pearl River Delta.” [In Chinese.] Mod. Urban Res. 9: 36–43. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2015.09.005.
Li, Z., Y. Li, and B. L. Cao. 2010. “Research on the characteristics, problems and countermeasures of Chinese enterprises’ overseas mergers and acquisitions under the financial crisis.” [In Chinese.] Inq. Econ. Issues 4: 152–157. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1006-2912.2010.04.031.
Lin, G. C. S. 2019. “Critical theoretical engagements and methodological innovation for China’s human geography in a decentering and anti-globalizing world.” [In Chinese.] Trop. Geogr. 39 (5): 1–9. https://doi.org/10.13284/j.cnki.rddl.003175.
Liu, C., and P. Yang. 2017. “A comparative study on the motivation mechanism and performance characteristics of Chinese and foreign shrinking cities.” [In Chinese.] Urban Dev. Strategy 3: 1–8. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2017.03.010.
Liu, T., and W. T. Woo. 2018. “Understanding the U.S.–China trade war.” China Econ. J. 11 (3): 319–340. https://doi.org/10.1080/17538963.2018.1516256.
Liu, Y., and X. Zhang. 2017. “A study on the shrinkage of Wuhan metropolitan area.” [In Chinese.] Planners 1: 2–9. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1006-0022.2017.01.003.
Long, Y., S. Ma, Q. L. Dong, W. Y. Xiang, and C. C. Kan. 2019. “Exploring Baidu Huiyan data for 3022 real cities in China.” [In Chinese.] Accessed September 28, 2019. http://www.sohu.com/a/340639682_468661.
Martinez-Fernandez, C., I. Audirac, S. Fol, and E. Cunningham-Sabot. 2012. “Shrinking cities: Urban challenges of globalization.” Int. J. Urban Reg. Res. 36 (2): 213–225. https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1468-2427.2011.01092.x.
Min, Z., Y. Lie, and C. Chen. 2015. “Smart shrinkage of rural human settlements and its planning strategies.” [In Chinese.] City Plann. Rev. 39 (7): 9–18. https://doi.org/10.11819/cpr20150703a.
Nikkei Research. 2018. “Survey of 428 large and medium-sized non-financial companies.” Accessed September 28, 2019. http://m.sohu.com/a/276358807_100024064.
Rieniets, T. 2009. “Shrinking cities: Causes and effects of urban population losses in the twentieth century.” Nat. Cult. 4 (3): 231–254. https://doi.org/10.3167/nc.2009.040302.
Schilling, J., and J. Logan. 2008. “Greening the rust belt: A green infrastructure model for right sizing America’s shrinking cities.” J. Am. Plann. Assoc. 74 (4): 451–466. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944360802354956.
Smith, N. 1979. “Toward a theory of gentrification A back to the city movement by capital, not people.” J. Am. Plann. Assoc. 45 (4): 538–548. https://doi.org/10.1080/01944367908977002.
Southern Weekend. 2016. “Focusing on Wuhan Steel Company: A dream of expansion in a decade; An ultimate destination of corporate restructuring.” [In Chinese.] Accessed September 28, 2019. http://www.infzm.com/content/118453.
Statistical Office for Berlin-Brandenburg. 2016. “Statistiken.” Accessed September 28, 2019. https://www.statistik-berlin-brandenburg.de/service/aboutus.asp.
Wang, X., and R. Lu. 2009. “The short-term and long-term effects of the 4 trillion investment plan under the crisis.” [In Chinese.] J. Sun Yat-sen Univ. 49 (4): 180–188. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1000-9639.2009.04.021.
Wiechmann, T. 2008. “Errors expected—Aligning urban strategy with demographic uncertainty in shrinking cities.” Int. Plann. Stud. 13 (4): 431–446. https://doi.org/10.1080/13563470802519097.
WISCO (Wuhan Iron and Steel Company). 2016. “Annual report, 2015.” [In Chinese.] Accessed September 28, 2019. http://file.finance.sina.com.cn/211.154.219.97:9494/MRGG/CNSESH_STOCK/2016/2016-4/2016-04-26/2409362.PDF.
Wu, K., Y. Long, and Y. Yang. 2015. “Urban shrinkage in the Beijing Tianjing, Hebei region and Yangtze river delta: Pattern, trajectory and factors.” [In Chinese.] Mod. Urban Res. 9: 26–35. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2015.09.004.
Wu, K., and D. Sun. 2017. “Progress in urban shrinkage research.” [In Chinese.] Econ. Geogr. 37 (11): 59–67. https://doi.org/10.15957/j.cnki.jjdl.2017.11.008.
Wuhan Municipal Bureau of Statistics. 2018a. “Wuhan statistical yearbook.” [In Chinese.] Accessed September 28, 2019. http://www.wuhandata.gov.cn/whData/directory.html?typeId=2&id=937568b8-1a69-4194-a823-edc8cc0f4a2d.
Wuhan Municipal Bureau of Statistics. 2018b. “Qingshan district statistical yearbook 2000–2017.” [In Chinese.] http://www.wuhandata.gov.cn/whData/directory.html?typeId=2&id=937568b8-1a69-4194-a823-edc8cc0f4a2d.
Wuhan Natural Resources and Planning Bureau. 2018. “Land supply for auction in the market”. [In Chinese.] Accessed September 28, 2019. http://gtghj.wuhan.gov.cn/pt-310-3.html.
Yang, B., and X. Wei. 2013. “The dilemma and countermeasures of Chinese enterprises’ overseas mergers and acquisitions.” [In Chinese.] Macroeconomics 2013 (6): 98–103. https://doi.org/10.16304/j.cnki.11-3952/f.2013.06.017.
Yang, D., Y. Long, W. Yang, and H. Sun. 2015. “Losing population with expanding space: Paradox of urban shrinkage in China.” [In Chinese.] Mod. Urban Res. 9: 20–25. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2015.09.003.
Yang, Z., and M. Dunford. 2018. “City shrinkage in China: Scalar processes of urban and hukou population losses.” Reg. Stud. 52 (8): 1111–1121. https://doi.org/10.1080/00343404.2017.1335865.
Yang, Z., and Y. Sun. 2015. “City shrinkage phenomenon progress and problems.” [In Chinese.] Hum. Geogr. 30 (4): 6–10. https://doi.org/10.13959/j.issn.1003-2398.2015.04.002.
Zhang, B., and Z. Li. 2017. “Shrinking cities: International progresses and implications for China.” [In Chinese.] City Plann. Rev. 41 (10): 103–108. https://doi.org/10.11819/cpr20171015a.
Zhou, K., C. Gu, and F. Qian. 2017a. “Compact urban development in the new normal.” [In Chinese.] Planner 33 (1): 12–17. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1006-0022.2017.01.002.
Zhou, K., and F. Qian. 2015. “Shrinking city: On searching for urban development in non-growing scenarios.” [In Chinese.] Mod. Urban Res. 9 (2): 2–13. https://doi.org/10.3969/j.issn.1009-6000.2015.09.001.
Zhou, K., F. Qian, and Y. Yan. 2017b. “A multi-scaled analysis of the “Shrinking Map” of the population in Hunan province.” [In Chinese.] Geog. Res. 36 (2): 267–280. https://doi.org/10.11821/dlyj201702006.
Zhou, Y., and L. J. Ma. 2005. “China’s urban population statistics: A critical evaluation.” Eurasian Geogr. Econ. 46 (4): 272–289. https://doi.org/10.2747/1538-7216.46.4.272.

Information & Authors

Information

Published In

Go to Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Journal of Urban Planning and Development
Volume 147Issue 1March 2021

History

Received: Oct 7, 2019
Accepted: Aug 17, 2020
Published online: Nov 9, 2020
Published in print: Mar 1, 2021
Discussion open until: Apr 9, 2021

Permissions

Request permissions for this article.

Authors

Affiliations

Lecturer, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Central China Normal Univ., Rm 502, Bldg 10, Hongshan District, Wuhan City, Hubei Province 430079, China. Email: [email protected]
Post-doc Research Fellow, School of Earth and Environmental Sciences, Univ. of Queensland, Rm 542, Chamberlain Bldg, Brisbane 4067, Australia (corresponding author). ORCID: https://orcid.org/0000-0002-1809-7088. Email: [email protected]
Associate Professor, College of Urban and Environmental Sciences, Central China Normal Univ., Rm 504, Bldg 10, Hongshan District, Wuhan City, Hubei Province 430079, China. Email: [email protected]

Metrics & Citations

Metrics

Citations

Download citation

If you have the appropriate software installed, you can download article citation data to the citation manager of your choice. Simply select your manager software from the list below and click Download.

Cited by

View Options

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Get Access

Access content

Please select your options to get access

Log in/Register Log in via your institution (Shibboleth)
ASCE Members: Please log in to see member pricing

Purchase

Save for later Information on ASCE Library Cards
ASCE Library Cards let you download journal articles, proceedings papers, and available book chapters across the entire ASCE Library platform. ASCE Library Cards remain active for 24 months or until all downloads are used. Note: This content will be debited as one download at time of checkout.

Terms of Use: ASCE Library Cards are for individual, personal use only. Reselling, republishing, or forwarding the materials to libraries or reading rooms is prohibited.
ASCE Library Card (5 downloads)
$105.00
Add to cart
ASCE Library Card (20 downloads)
$280.00
Add to cart
Buy Single Article
$35.00
Add to cart

Media

Figures

Other

Tables

Share

Share

Copy the content Link

Share with email

Email a colleague

Share